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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
    IIRC, you need to exceed the amount for a warning.
  2. Eskimo Joe
    3:00 pm LWX AFD
  3. Eskimo Joe
    Someone please 5 post jayyy and chuck.
  4. Eskimo Joe
    @MillvilleWx is God
  5. Eskimo Joe
    Not really. Fresh, fluffy snow greater than 4" along with clear skies and light winds will really bottom temps out. Euro temps Monday AM look fine.
  6. Eskimo Joe
    LWX snow map gets updated at 3:30 pm I believe.
  7. Eskimo Joe
    Warnings / advisories going out now. Looks like everything's been nudged up one county.
  8. Eskimo Joe
    3:30 pm update will probably be interesting for many
  9. Eskimo Joe
  10. Eskimo Joe
    Definitely think LWX nudges the watch further north now.
  11. Eskimo Joe
    Their timing is okay, but their percentages for the boom/bust scenarios is somewhat befuddling. Having your "official forecast" book ended by two 20% boom/bust options means your only 60% confident in your forecast. That doesn't instill much confidence in their product.
  12. Eskimo Joe
    Looks like LWX just nudges POPs for Saturday night to 100% all the way to the Mason Dixon line. I believe it was only 80% or 90% last night.
  13. Eskimo Joe
    Too bad it's the FV3...that would be an okay weekend event for everyone.
  14. Eskimo Joe
    Wouldn't surprise me to see LWX nudge the watch up into Calvert and Charles County in MD and Faquier, Stafford and Prince William Counties in VA. There's been a consistent bump in the 06/12z guidance for near warning level snow in that area.
  15. Eskimo Joe
    Per Wes on FB, he liks 2-4 for DCA and north, 3-5 across S. MD. He thinks LWX's snow map is reasonable.
  16. Eskimo Joe
    DCA will somehow measure incorrectly and they'll have to "highly estimate" an inch of snow.
  17. Eskimo Joe
    Dear God somebody please cleanup Chuck and Jay in the Storm Mode thread.
  18. Eskimo Joe
    Looks like you and mappy and psu are un for some fun.
  19. Eskimo Joe
    WAA is Warm Air Advection. Warm air riding into colder air. DGZ is Dendritic Growth Zone. If you look at the left side of the image above you will see two dashed red lines and yellow horizontal bars. The bar represent rising air and you want to see the best rising air concentrated within the zone of the clouds where snow crystals form. The longer and deeper you can sustain that, the better the snow accumulations will be.
  20. Eskimo Joe
    His first Tweet was sarcastic.
  21. Eskimo Joe
    Too long...time for a long break.
  22. Eskimo Joe
    Woke up to a notification of 200+ posts and thought things finally broke our way. Alas it's just shitposting and wish casting. We need storm mode.
  23. Eskimo Joe
    Yes that's the first one issued by LWX and it activates WEA.
  24. Eskimo Joe
    It's not just QPF that gets you good snow. Having prolonged lift through the DGZ is equally vital, otherwise its mangled flakes that don't accumulate.
  25. Eskimo Joe
    TWC going with 5" - 8" for DC.
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