Eskimo Joe

12z Euro opens the polar ice box next week. Gimme.

Definite uptick on mean snowfall on the 12z EPS for the Thurs/Fri event.

Paging @MillvilleWx, @wxmeddler, and @wxmvpete to see if they know.

Yes. Fun things happen with you have an upper level low closing off to your south.

Would advocate for storm mode inside of HR 48 and a heavily moderated thread.

Looks like Euro and GFS give everyone a 2"-4" event with localized 5" spots.

FWIW, 12z GEFS trended better for everyone. A lot of the complete whiffs or OTS misses are fading. Looking more likely that we get some kind of accumulating frozen from this first event.

Bonus for holiday weekend snow!

00z/06z Euro had that as well.

A lot of snow squall warnings on the Allegheny Front and Laurel Highlands. Maybe we get something this afternoon?

One of my top 5 events. A colossal forecast bust from DC to Philly. Had almost a foot of snow in Lancaster.

To my eye, this is very Jan 26, 2011 esque

Closed 500 low over western/central Tennessee by HR 111. Surface low over western South Carolina. Everyone east of I-81 starts as rain, but the flip to snow seems imminent.

I'm at HR 108 and the presentation at 500 mb looks good to my eye. Passing through western Tennessee and starting to go neutral.