Eskimo Joe

Wet bulb temp is below 32° west of the bay.

00z 3k NAM has 1" for everyone north of I-70 tomorrow AM. 2"+ north of Mason-Dixon.

Mesonet data suggests soils have cooled considerably in the past 24 hours. Any frozen that falls will accumulate. We ran a house fire just north of Westminster last night and everything froze. Had to use the exhaust from the trucks to thaw out the ground ladders so we could get them back on the apparatus.

This is the way.

Alright kids, 00z is where we put all our chips in

Oh man yes please

That seems....extreme.

Watch this be another 100" winter for them.

You start with mostly cloudy skies and cold, northwest flow for a day or two. Around mid afternoon on day three, warm air moves in aloft and starts precip as freezing rain. It then flips to steady, moderate snow overnight. Precipitation falls without the benefit of sunshine to melt it off overnight, and road crews were unable to put pretreatment down due to rain. The snow encapsulates power lines and trees overnight, leading to over 250,000 outages across the DC - Baltimore region. Gusty NW winds of around 20 mph occur after the storm exits around sunrise. Early sunshine fades behind a cirrus shield the next day as a potent clipper system dives south into Kentucky. An additional 4" - 8" of fluffy snow occurs during the afternoon and evening.

Congrats @usedtobe!

Interesting - is the Euro always late for NBM?

Appreciate the response. I'm in the same mindset as you.

If/when we get shut out with this upcoming pattern, would you chalk it up to bad luck, or something more serious like a fundamental shift in the base state?

12z Euro-AI bumped up snow probs for I-95 east. Now 40% - 50% of 1"+ on Sunday.