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Everything posted by Daniel Boone
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Jan Medium/Long Range Disco: Winter is coming
Daniel Boone replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
My Uncle and Cousins lived in NW Ohio. They never get over that one. Amazing ! -
2023-2024 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
Daniel Boone replied to The Alchemist's topic in Southeastern States
Exactly. Those super warm SST'S in the western PAC is the culprit I'm pretty confident of. -
January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Daniel Boone replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yep. Living up to it's name for us.- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Daniel Boone replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah, that OV Lp. Started to mention earlier that I bet we'd have to deal with that when the GFS went South with basically a Miller A. Puts us in the screw zone.- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Daniel Boone replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah true. Wouldn't it be a slap for the great Valley to get missed to the South and then North. Wouldn't be a huge surprise though as has happened quite a few times, even EWSN , lol. So's the life of those living in the Great Valley.- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Daniel Boone replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah, looks like northern Alabama and Georgia may score with that one.- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Daniel Boone replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Hopefully we can get that clean Miller A southern track with stronger hp to the North. It's always rather worrisome, particularly here in the great Valley, when there's not a very cold Airmass in place. Also, definitely don't want a strong storm to our South with just marginal cold for it to pull down as that would result in stronger wind thereby enhaning downsloping.- 1,263 replies
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Winter 23-24' Wx Observations Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Remember that one well. High ratio here as Temp was around 20. Measured 7 inches. -
January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Daniel Boone replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah, Summer '88 still holds the Record for hottest I've ever recorded. 101. The extended stretches of extreme heat as you mentioned were unreal!- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Daniel Boone replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah, that was the only good Month of that Winter. You outdone us here by about about 3 inches. The end of the Month one was the biggest. I think it was the 25th. 5 inches here . Would have been an inch or two more were not for it sleeting over an hour at the beginning. Ice pellets that mounted to about half inch. You probably had all Snow with that one.- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Daniel Boone replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Hope that comes to fruition. It would make it easier to handle the cutter next Weekend. Carvers made good points regarding it . It could pay dividends afterward.- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Daniel Boone replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
That EC Ensemble 500 depiction is very close to Ideal.- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Daniel Boone replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
I buy into the Arctic Airmass coming into the lower 48. Not typical for a strong Nino but, with a rather Nina/Nino hybrid Pac Pattern to coin it,along with a strong -NAO and AO very much possible if not probable. I am rather saddened by the nw turn in the early Jan big Storm. Really not surprising though. Need a HP dropping down from the N or NW to keep that thing from doing that. A banana High would do the trick but, doesnt look to be a chance of that happening either.- 1,263 replies
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2023-2024 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
Daniel Boone replied to The Alchemist's topic in Southeastern States
Here's hoping the weakened TPV will allow for a strong push of Arctic air into the Central/Eastern US thereby causing a STJ System to dump on you. -
Jan Medium/Long Range Disco: Winter is coming
Daniel Boone replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
Yeah, trending that way. Appears to be a weakness there up the eastern OV. -
January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Daniel Boone replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah, 12z GooFuS has that System coming way North. At least CMC, UKMET still look good. Hopefully we get more HP to the North. The close proximity of the Lows hurts as it doesn't allow cold to funnel behind them. That can be a problem with Nino's. It does generally keep one from becoming strong and amping. However, the GFS has that first one a strong one and amping.- 1,263 replies
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2023-2024 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
Daniel Boone replied to The Alchemist's topic in Southeastern States
Yeah but, as far as overall pattern compared to just a few days ago. Honestly, I hadn't looked at the 6z so yeah, that trough coming into the west sooner doesn't help matters. We need to get a true Nino augmented NPAC Aleutian LP. The -PDO is hurting . Mainly the extreme WPAC warm SST'S are what's appears to be causing the problem imo. Wants to force a Nina like NPAC. -
2023-2024 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
Daniel Boone replied to The Alchemist's topic in Southeastern States
Ensembles look better first half of January. Operationals are going to spit out different solutions often . -
January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Daniel Boone replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah agree 100%. Southern Plains and Mississippi Valley Snowfall averages actually went up the last five years.- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Daniel Boone replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Carvers, of course that's just a conspiracy theory from us regarding the political agenda, lol.- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Daniel Boone replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Yeah, I noticed that too. I wonder what they show for Lee County that Winter. ?. The range was 35 to over 50 inches (excluding Mountain tops).- 1,263 replies
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January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Daniel Boone replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
I'll second that. Same with the so called official Pennington gap Site. It's just awful how poorly recorded and kept the Data is. It may not be political but, it looks it regardless. Climate agenda .- 1,263 replies
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Winter 23-24' Wx Observations Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Wound up with about half inch Total Snow here. Only a quarter inch or so on grass and snow board at any time however. -
January Medium-Long Range Discussion
Daniel Boone replied to Holston_River_Rambler's topic in Tennessee Valley
Saw similar outcome in the big Jan 2016 Storm. Heavy Snow west and east of the great Valley. Mixed mess Valley. Wound up with just 4 inches at my house then. Oddly, portions of the County easily doubled that.- 1,263 replies
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2023-2024 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
Daniel Boone replied to The Alchemist's topic in Southeastern States
If this developing stuff in far SWVA/EKY and NE TN move that way expect more than forecasted.