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Everything posted by Daniel Boone
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Wow ! An inch more. Did you get thunder ?
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Came out well with this one here. 1.32" . A bit more than forecast for here.
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Exactly. Ridge/Trough axis Mean was too far East. Winter Storms and Snowfall Averages have gradually decreased over the Decades. I think it's long term scale Cyclical instead of Man made as far as the Global Landscape. Greenland was once Farmland. Greenland was Frozen Tundra before that. Large Urban Areas have obvious man made effects. Oceans also are definitely affecting Climate as well. We can still cash in if things align right and have a banner Snowfall Winter.
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Hopefully it does come further South. Be nice to go out with a Bang for many. The Ohio Valley and Northeast has had plenty enough.
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What a banner Winter for the Ohio Valley and Northeast,as well as much of the MA. At least one more big dog for the Ohio Valley is looking more likely the first of the Week. If only the mean Trough had been a bit further Southwest. Cincinnati down to Charleston WV have had abundant Snow. As has Danville VA to the Tidewater up the Delmarva and points North. The Great Valley has had near average Snowfall (Todays Averages) with a few locations somewhat below. The Plateau has averaged overall slightly below north to well below South. The biggest below disparity has been much of middle Tn in our Forum. So close to having the coldest, snowiest Winter here since 2014-15. I wish something unforeseen would force the Trough further South so we could get the Goods Monday. However, doesn't look likely as features out west war against that happening.
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The mediums got worse the closer you got, (especially the Euro)other than the Canadian. As you noted, they did better at range , of which they ey should be incompared to SRM's. Short range wasn't good at all for the Cumberlands but well for the heart of the Great Valley. HRRR and 3k totally missed amounts from here back to the Plateau west of Knoxville. We had 1-6" here in Lee County. Looks as though they over projected downsloping.
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It was horrible with this . The Nam Suite and HRRR was here as well. The Canadian Suite did best for back here in the Cumberlands.
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Reached 25 for the high. Forecast was for 30. Currently 22 with lt Snow. A fresh Dusting since Solar Effects left. Have an Inch still on Ground in the open Lawn Area. About 2 inches in some shaded Area's. Had all the Snow that has fallen accumulated the Total would have been around 4 inches. Model's overall did poorly with this here as John alluded to earlier. I think the Canadian Suite were the winners here. John probably has kept up with it more than me. HRRR I think was terrible. Nam was bad as well. As far as Medium Range Models and the System as a whole, I'd say the GFS won hands down particularly picking up on the Storm at range.
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Flurries and lt Snshrs continue here with a Temperature of 24. Rather fast melting is occurring from underneath. Ground Temp's are still giving.off heat. Some melting from Solar as well .
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Measurements varied 2 to 3". Some shady Area's had 3. Ground was warm so makes sense. Also some melting underneath was noted early last night even with ambient Temperature in low 20's. Got down to 18 this Morning.
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2.5 inches here. Nice Surprise. Fluffy kind.
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We have a half inch here now as a couple heavy Showers moved across. First one a dusting then the last one a half inch. Flurrying now but more upstream if they make it across like this last one did. Current Temperature 23.
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Same here. Coming down pretty hard just north and east of me on Stone Mountain and Wallen Ridge.
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2025-2026 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Buckethead's topic in Southeastern States
GFS backed off quite a bit from what it had been showing,here as well as the MA. I think you're pretty spot in with that call up high in favored Locations. -
Not really unless the GFS scores a Coup.
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2025-2026 Fall/Winter Mountain Thread
Daniel Boone replied to Buckethead's topic in Southeastern States
Yeah, looks crappy. You'd think with the setup even on it, there would be more upslope Snow than depicted. Looks too dry and probably a bit warm . Those are biases of it. -
Looking at the upper air Charts at 36 hrs out there's a minor difference between the two that appears to yield to the drastic difference; The Vort in Alberta orientation. The Strong LP west of Californica appears to be the impetus for that in comparing the EC and GFS there. Shows how minute details can evolve into major differences.
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She's ticking West on the GFS. Now has measurable (1"+) Snow back to the Plateau. 8-12" Wise to Bluefied. 1-3" Great Valley Locations in NETN /SWVA. 2-8" SEKY. 6-14" TN/NC Border. Blizzard for Northern VA and DC with up to 3 Feet. Alas, it is the GFS...
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MA and Ohio Valley has had a Cold one for sure. TN Valley had near normal overall. SE cold further East you go for most part.
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March and then November historically. Early December has as well .
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I started to pull the trigger on my thoughts irt this Storm yesterday but felt so bad I just couldn't. Besides, really needed another day with those Thoughts, lol. This may be similar to the December '92 Storm. Big Storm just North and NE of us. We did manage a few sloppy inches from backlash in Northeastern Sections of the Great Valley. Man, that GEM Depiction makes me salivate. That's a Blizzard for the MA and NE and not far from it here. I'd be jumping for joy in the MA now. It's looking grand for them .
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This was from March 2, 1942 Norton, VA.
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Historic Tennessee Valley Cold, Snow, and Ice Events
Daniel Boone replied to Carvers Gap's topic in Tennessee Valley
Norton VA, March 2 1942.- 138 replies
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