Daniel Boone

It would be our luck.

He's not yet. He just, in another tweet, basically was hinging that Greenland Blocking was why, lol. Of course, as we know, strong Greenland Blocking can mitigate even strong warm MJO effects. However, from Larry's research that is not what the reason was but, something to do with La nina and the location of it, if I remember correctly.

Snowfall Averages have really dropped off over the Decade's. 1950-1980 Average for downtown Pennington gap was. 20.7" and that was at one of the lowest elevation area's and measurements weren't measured as precise as Now. For instance, measurements were taken generally at one location in the Lawn and not until the Observer got up in the Morning if Snow fell at night. So, if it ended at 12 or so that Night and settling , melting or drifting occured the actual amount accumulated would be missed. We measure in Intervals during a Storm and add until it Ends now thereby not losing any measurements to sublimation, settling etc..

Especially the 37th

We need some Action of some sort Brother. Been a boring Stretch for sure. Hopefully the Pattern finally aligns to where we get some Gulf infused Systems to wetten us up. Large area in dire need. Sure don't need another "Dust Bowl" to develop.

Yeah, I think mainly if there's split Flow. As you know, we have gotten many snowfalls with the STJ Trekking across southern call and across the southern States but generally the Polar Jet Trough is down into the Plains and East. They would tend to merge . If not, a wave riding the STJ would move up enough to produce Snow with HP to our North .

Agree with the south , central and West but further East in the upper South, South Central and SE Virginia, North and NE NC just had their earliest, snowiest start to Meteorological Winter in Many Year's with 3 back to back Snowfalls in early December. Some Area's in the Yukon hit -65 recently. Not saying Climate change is not real overall but, it's still exagerrated somewhat for now, imo. Northern Florida broke Snowfall Records last Winter with 10" in Milton, 7" in Pensacola. Much of Climate is Cyclical. Regardless of what the cause was or is. Greenland was once Farmland according to Archaelogical Findings and Scientific evidence. The cause is Hypothesis and Theories. We don't know for sure. We may continue on a warming Cycle for quite some time. May not. There's been warm periods and cold periods over the Years since recorded History. Some short duration, some long. The little Ice Age for Instance. There's speculation and Theories on the cause of it. In the Late '70's there was serious talk that we could be heading into another Ice Age. We just don't know really. Could be a Cycle to where we go so warm that Greenland is Farmland again. God forbid. Of course, we'll all probably be gone before that Extreme if it were to occur.

Yeah, most of the Time that is the case.

Yep. that Cuban Ridge is there. If they turn out wrong about that we could be setting up pretty good. +TNH works great for us without a SER. Baja or SW Lows pump that Ridge. Without those, there shouldn't be much of an SER. Hopefully guidance is off on those hanging there.

I see they finally changed their Tune a bit.

Lol true. I was just carrying on with him. I couldn't help it, lol. I thought he may of intentionally used that word if you put it in Context. Depending whether or not the occurrence was desired or not. He's a good Poster. Great with Teleconnections.

Yw man . I knew you knew. Just a mistake we sometimes make. '76 was the January..it was a cold one in these parts. Not alot of Snow but several small one's. Dry overall.

You're right and right about Coz being right imo. I think I got that right. Sometimes things just go against the grain; atypical patterns and paths. Chaos, multiple, diverse Driver's etc. The strongly negative QBO is without a Doubt a Player in my Mind.

Yeah, so much for the MJO 6 always warm ideaology. Jan. 77 coldest in modern History. Btw, that was a weak El nino Winter, if that has little if any different affect on the Outcome.

Yeah, that's valid points Jax. I'm sure you meant Shift though lol.

How's it handling the Thorn in the NEPAC ? Is it showing a weaker Trough there ?

The GFS is worse than it ever was now. Since last upgrade it is terrible imo. I spoke with the NWS about it and asked about when they'd last upgraded. His reply was they're always doing something with them lately.

Yep, exactly what you and I had discussed. Man, if this does transpire can you imagine the shock to the front range and Southern Plains ?! They've been dominated by that heat Ridge for a Couple Months for the most part. Denver is at Record level for least Snow at this Juncture.

About a quarter of an inch here. Between a half inch and a inch in Dryden , about 2 miles ENE of Pennington gap. Norton and Wise 1-2 inches.

Let's not forget it's the GooFuS.

Flurrying fairly good here now.

A few light flurries here this Morning.

Yeah, same here. Mentioned it couple pages back and Carver's and John told how to get around the problem.

It is getting that way here. About half the Average Rainfall for December.

Oh, I know that . I was referring to how the block retrogades and other effects of it along with the AK Vort.. Yeah, a tall PNA Ridge is tops in my opinion, really for the whole area , in general.