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Daniel Boone

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Everything posted by Daniel Boone

  1. Daniel Boone
    Paltry to say the least.
  2. Daniel Boone
    Blocking breaking down along with MJO Propagation into warmer phases .
  3. Daniel Boone
    Same here.
  4. Daniel Boone
    This Storm would have produced Major Snow in part's of our Area a Month later.
  5. Daniel Boone
    Yeah. Used to be higher percentage so, things does appear to have changed.
  6. Daniel Boone
    This would have been a Snowstorm if it were a Month Later.
  7. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, hopefully the warm spell don't last the balance of November. That's not a good sign. Over 60% odds of a cold Winter when November is colder than Average. John knows the Stats on that . Saw where Terpeast put out his Outlook over in MA Sub earlier and he's going mild. Looks nearly textbook canonical Nina. SER Dominate. He's basing on SST'S Pacific and Atlantic along with QBO State.
  8. Daniel Boone
    Enjoy the day off man .
  9. Daniel Boone
    That'll at least support Upslope. Even flakes into Valley's.
  10. Daniel Boone
    Yeah. Possibly measurable snow higher eles. May be even some flakes reach Valley floors if enough caa or heavy precip rates pulls cold air down from aloft.
  11. Daniel Boone
    6z gfs. Nuff said. There will be at least a period of warmer wx after this extended cool period but doubt that warm .
  12. Daniel Boone
    Yeah. Mentioned to my Wife awhile ago that possibly some flurries or Snow showers Thursday night. If enough cold can get pulled down there could be some decent accumulations up high.
  13. Daniel Boone
    Right with you.
  14. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, nothing to it.
  15. Daniel Boone
    Model's are only as good as they're programmed and what's ingested into them. Probably either broadbrushes your area or the Data ingested is from Station's such as Lafollette ; warmer Locations. So, the Model's reflects that for your area. That's my Guess. Same way they are here. Pennington gap and the County Airport 7 Miles SW of Jonesville are the " official" Station's. They are warmer than most of the County.
  16. Daniel Boone
    That's quite possible. A cold pool there support's the 50-50. Without that it's possible for linkage.
  17. Daniel Boone
    Yeah, interesting! Quite different from my heyday Year's of Forecasting(I'm an Antique). Makes for a tougher seasonal forecast for sure , and to some degree medium range.
  18. Daniel Boone
    First Flakes for mountains now looking likely; maybe even Valley Locations.
  19. Daniel Boone
    I suspect the area of forecast Snowfall to expand if the Pattern forecasted is realized. Looking like a good amount of moisture to work with. Great Lakes are very warm as well.
  20. Daniel Boone
    Yep. 34 here as well. 32 in Keokee in northern Lee County. 33 in Rose hill and Ewing Recorded.
  21. Daniel Boone
    Whew ! Don't want a milk Winter for sure.
  22. Daniel Boone
    May get first Flakes early November in Valley Locations.
  23. Daniel Boone
    Currently 52 degrees here after a heavy Squall line moved through about 45 minutes ago. .76" of Rain so far today. A good bit more than forecasted. Way more than the terrible HRRR had for us.
  24. Daniel Boone
    Currently 52 degrees here after a heavy Squall line moved through about 45 minutes ago. .76" of Rain so far today. A good bit more than forecasted. Way more than the terrible HRRR had for us.
  25. Daniel Boone
    Hopefully the Polar Jet will come down far enough to produce plenty Upslope.
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