The Iceman

Best rates of the day currently. Estimating around an inch, will go out and check the board at 8.

Buckle up Mesoscale Discussion 0054 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0501 AM CST Sun Jan 25 2026 Areas affected...Pennsylvania...New Jersey...Northern West Virginia...Northern Virginia...Northern Delaware...New Jersey...Far Southeast New York Concerning...Heavy snow Valid 251101Z - 251700Z SUMMARY...Heavy snowfall, with rates of around 1 inch per hour, is expected to continue to develop from parts of the upper Ohio Valley eastward to the Mid-Atlantic this morning. DISCUSSION...The latest mosaic radar imagery shows widespread snowfall ongoing from the Ohio Valley eastward into the Mid-Atlantic. This is occurring along a broad zone of strong isentropic ascent, aided by warm advection associated with a 50 to 60 knot low-level speed max over the southern Appalachians. The exit region of this feature will continue to move northward this morning into the upper Ohio Valley and northern Mid-Atlantic, helping to gradually intensify snowfall rates. This will result in areas of heavy snow from Pennsylvania and northern Virginia eastward to New Jersey and far southeastern New York. Snowfall rates of 1 inch per hour will be possible within the more well-defined bands that setup. The heavy snowfall potential from Pennsylvania and New Jersey northward should continue through the mid to late morning. In northern Virginia, Maryland and Delaware, a changeover to freezing rain is expected by late morning. ..Broyles/Mosier.. 01/25/2026 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...OKX...PHI...BGM...CTP...LWX...PBZ...RLX...

I’m rocking this playlist right now whoever Philip J. Is on Apple Music is a real weenie, great soundtrack to the morning.

Back to pixie dust here now, fresh coating on everything though. 15F

It’s definitely snowing in Trenton. I’m right across the river, 5 miles west and it’s steady now. Pixie dust the last hour before that.

Wow that escalated quickly, really coming down now. Steady snow. Going to be great ratios this morning.

Pixie dust here, better echoes beginning to move in. Should really get going in the next hour

Good morning people! Brewing a cup of coffee waiting for the first flakes, radar looks great. Think we are going to thump hard.

Setting the alarm for 3 am, hope we are snowing decent by then. Temp steady at 16F. Looks like first echoes heading into reading/chester, anyone getting flakes?

You’re in it 16F/-4 dp I’m surprised their doesn’t seem to be much virga

Zero shot, none. Cold air means business, there’s no way we go above freezing

Tired hands good choice. I’m more of an Alien Church guy, but can’t knock anything by them. Their owner is a great dude too.

This apple weather app is causing chaos

Yeah thanks

Starts at or after 06z, change over starting at 18z s to n, storm ends between 00z and 06z Monday. I do think this will be fairly long duration.

Based on nothing but the vibe of the winter and the air mass overhead, I think this performs better than expected. I’m sticking with my original first call. But I won’t be surprised if totals are on the higher end of this. 3-6” - shore points extreme snj 6-12” - 95/195 corridor 10-16” N and W of 95 with lollipops of 20” for whoever stays all snow. i don’t think anyone sees significant freezing rain either.

I was thinking the same, my high currently is 18F. Seriously cold airmass overhead. Coldest high of the season.

Am I foolish for not starting my generator today? I’m refusing to believe freezing rain is going to be that serious of an issue this far N… am I being obtuse?

He used to post here rarely, wonder if he ever still checks in. @hurricaneschwartzwhat are your thoughts on this storm?

I feel like I got more with that storm than with VD but I might be misremembering. Time to access @famartins storm archive!

I think it was 2017 or 2018, I remember this also. There’s been several sleet ruiners in the last ten years. Feb 2021 would have been an all timer if we didn’t sleet half the storm. We ended up with a foot then or slightly over I think but 2” of that was sleet.

lol imagine watching the models past 48 hours and thinking anything of that sort with happen. “The big ones are sniffed out at long range” is a myth.

Post 1997

I think you're in a great spot for a foot John, enjoy! I don't think you'll see a ton of mixing either, if any. Smart man moving further NW