WestMichigan

Has it? I am not an economist, but I haven't seen that locally. Maybe you have?

I am wondering if I can make it the entire month of December and still have no measurable snow for the season. GFS is saying I have a chance at it.

And there were 11 at Thanksgiving where we went and we are all healthy. There are more of those stories than what you are sharing for sure.

When will this system finally be fully sampled?

GFS is a little faster and slightly SE of 12Z. Still a little warm here but baby steps. Now if it can continue a little more SE.

I agree, but that article was only about one piece of the puzzle. There are many more factors like you said and in places like Japan, there were more suicides in October than COVID deaths all year combined. I know they have a high suicide rate to begin with but that is a crazy statistic.

NAM says congrats MSP.

https://news.gallup.com/poll/327311/americans-mental-health-ratings-sink-new-low.aspx?utm_medium=email&utm_campaign=855206&refcd=855206&utm_source=RevelantResources&seid= No one really wants to talk about it, but how many lives can we lose as "collateral damage" and no even bother to question it? These mental health statistics are just the tip of the iceberg. Is the cure worse than the disease? I don't know.

My snow drought might continue. Ridiculous cutoff across my county.

Looks like wagons north is the early theme today. RDPS is north along with the NAM.

Only 16 more model runs until we see what really happens.

Take a break from this. You need it.

GRR is toying with me We are still expecting a system to affect the area in the Friday through Sunday time frame. There are multiple upper troughs and cut off lows that come together in some fashion to bring the low to the lakes this weekend. The first trough is currently in the middle of the Pacific with a cut off low dropping south near Southern California. The waves come together over the plains on Friday with a low moving through the Great Lakes in the Saturday time frame. At this point, looking at the operational models, the Canadian is furthest northwest moving a low through Wisconsin. The GFS is more of a middle of the road track, moving the low through the GRR forecast area. The ECMWF is further southeast, tracking the low through Southeast Lower Michigan. 12z European ensemble low locations Saturday evening are starting to zero in on the southern Great Lakes area for the track of the low, so leaning towards a GFS or ECMWF solution. What this means is we are looking at a potentially impactful system this weekend with a rain to snow type of scenario. Wind is also in play depending on the depth of the low. Way too early to nail down any details at this point with this system, but we are certainly watching it. It appears we are looking at a period of lake effect snow as well on the backside, Sunday into Monday. More to come this week as details emerge.

I have had a trace on a couple of occasions, but unless it fell and night and melted before I could see it in the morning there hasn't been anything measurable. Look at the snow maps, there is a donut hole around this part of the state.

I'll take that since I am one of the few remaining people in this sub to have not had a measurable snowfall yet this season.

For those of you fixated on only one aspect of this pandemic - the raw numbers, this health crisis is so often overlooked. http:// https://apnews.com/article/anxiety-mental-health-boston-coronavirus-pandemic-massachusetts-004adb5ee0ef17ff4b5e2e294e36ff3d

Is the GFS trying to model a clipper at the end of the run? That would be a nice change if that really happens.

Bare ground by evening?

Guess I was referring to places west of you. For example in my area snowfall stats. GRR SINCE JUL 1 0.4 7.3 -6.9 6.8 MKG SINCE JUL 1 1.2 6.2 -5.0 10.9 Precip stats are also on the drier side during this time period.

I thought La Nina years were supposed to be active. This snoozefest needs to go.

Why not 60% or 75%? Pure speculation at best. Give some reasoning please.

If this were true why are so many countries struggling then?

This is 5 days or so in a row with declining numbers in Michigan. Not sure if it is a trend or a blip.