You average a lot more than me, but cut that deficit in half and that is where I will be. I would be happy at this point to make it to 50% of average since it would be an amazing comeback in February/March to an overall bad season.
My brother in Caldwell (SE Ohio) measured 9.5" this morning. Nice little surprise for them. WTOD normally kills most snow over there but this time the cold and suppression helped bring a nice snow to that part of the state.
LES has been alternating between light and moderate/heavy all day. No way of measuring when my yard is either bare grass or a drift. Looking forward to more this evening and overnight.
Still waiting on the turnaround of this side of Lake Michigan. Even the UP is hurting for snow. Looks like this week and next might at least make a dent in the deficit.
I can almost match you. I just put my plow on Sunday. I have shoveled 1 time all year. Sad this is I probably average at least double your yearly snowfall.
You just described LES fairly well. The fluff factor is something most people outside the lakes don't really comprehend. The nearly 80" I average in a normal year here is not like Iowa getting 80" in a year. Look at WeatherBo. He gets 200"+ but depth never gets anywhere near that.
If only the GFS would verify. Nearly 3' IMBY. However the Euro says no way. Give me less than 12". Either way, definitely looking to double my YTD snowfall and maybe more.
Early on you are correct, but any time after 84 hours or so any place down wind of the Great Lakes will wind up being the winner. Looks like the lakes will finally produce snow in many of the normal LES regions.
To @A-L-E-K and all the others that immediately slapped the weenie tag. Several days out I said pick the model lowest snow in the GRR area and that would be correct. Well, it looks like that was the correct answer.
https://www.weather.gov/images/grr/wxstory/Tab3FileL.png?7218d30f4377734d0f4e99a5d1f9208c
Given the lack of any significant snow in my area on the models I can assure you the more southern route is definitely the correct solution. You just can’t make it snow more than a few inches in the vicinity of GRR this year.
I haven't seen 12" yet either. Just broke double digits for the year earlier this week. Here's hoping a warm lake and some friendly winds/850 temps during the month of February for both of us.
I feel your pain, GRR is 34" below average. Since I am closer to the lake, I am guessing I am a little below 40" below normal. Anyway, congrats to finally seeing some snow up there!