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snowman19

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Everything posted by snowman19

  1. Not only that, look at where all the arctic air is….in Eurasia on the complete opposite side of the pole
  2. Lol @the_other_guy Apparently a freak mesoscale, narrow band means all the February hype verified!!
  3. Yep. Now it’s “mid-March onwards”. How many times is this now? Just keep kicking the can down the road….
  4. Here we go again. Now it’s “mid-March onwards”. Wash, rinse, repeat
  5. Once we get to mid-March we will be fighting spring climo, sun angle and length of day. It’s over at our latitude at that point minus some freak, anomalous event
  6. No one gives a rat’s ass or a Goddamn what that idiot thinks
  7. You’ve been saying this since November
  8. Yep. And look at where all the arctic cold is…locked on the complete opposite side of the pole in Eurasia and it stays there into March. This winter is not only on life support, the Priest has given it Last Rights and the heart monitor is starting to flatline…..
  9. The fat lady is standing at the mic and she’s warming up her vocal cords…..
  10. The warmth from November through today has been staggering and it’s not done yet, it looks to continue into early March….at least. Hard to believe actually. Even for a super El Niño this is just ridiculous:
  11. Yea, possibly, if we believe that MJO progression is correct, but my guess is March averages warmer to much warmer than normal. Early March at least looks way above average. Past strong El Nino events had warm early-mid March’s but they did get cooler after mid-March. We’ll see
  12. Would not surprise me if the tail end of February and March torch, then a huge -NAO block shows up in April and we keep getting backdoored for 30 days
  13. Here comes the latest SSW non event. The stratospheric models have been about as reliable as the weeklies . The dumpster fire continues….
  14. No offense but don’t you live in Philadelphia? What exactly are you hoping to get down there in March? And all the SSW hype has been fail after fail all winter. Total voodoo
  15. 72-73 has actually been a decent analog. Both very strong El Niño, both strong -PDO
  16. It’s not even remotely worth looking at the CFS for March until like 2/28. They have a known record of not having the slightest glimmer of a clue and flip flop like a fish out of water until just before the next month starts
  17. @bluewave The signal on the ensembles for an extremely warm last few days of February and especially early March is astounding. I haven’t seen a signal this strong since probably March, 2012
  18. I got around 8 inches
  19. Past strong/super El Niños did get less hostile after mid-March. Early-mid March strongly favors a hostile, warmer than normal pattern though, looking back at history. Problem is that post mid-March, minus some very anomalous event, you are really fighting spring climo, sun angle and length of day and it gets worse with each passing day at that point. The clock will really be ticking
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