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snowman19

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Everything posted by snowman19

  1. snowman19
    The PAC pattern stays God awful as far as the eye can see. ++EPO/++WPO and nothing but Pacific maritime air in Canada and the CONUS right through mid-March and beyond. Even if a -NAO/-AO develop, it won’t help, just traps PAC air underneath
  2. snowman19
    Yea because it’s flooded with PAC air and all the arctic is over in Eurasia. The blocks are just going to trap that air because the PAC stays in a garbage pattern. BIG problem. Marginal cold doesn’t cut it come mid-late March anymore. It’s time to declare this one dead. Let it go
  3. snowman19
    I can’t wait for the next can kick….late March and early April for the “cold” and snow. I have no doubt that one is coming…..
  4. snowman19
  5. snowman19
  6. snowman19
    Serious question, where is all the arctic cold going to come from since it’s all on the other side of the hemisphere in Eurasia? Marginal cold won’t cut it anymore come mid-late March like it does in Dec-Jan-Feb at our latitude. Once you get to 3/15 and beyond it’s game over south of New England minus some freak/very anomalous event
  7. snowman19
    The 1st 2 weeks of March look very warm and delightful on the ensembles. It’s a beautiful, wonderful thing!
  8. snowman19
    Now that we have reached the tail end, last few days of the month, the CFS for March becomes believable and it has continued to trend warmer and warmer with every run right up to today
  9. snowman19
    Should have said on twitter, meant to put that in there. But since you mentioned it, it’s voodoo, how many times this winter will people fall for it? Been failing all winter
  10. snowman19
    The usual suspects *on twitter are still riding the voodoo SSW/weeklies deep winter comes back mid-late March like sea biscuit I see lol
  11. snowman19
    So much for that fantasy GFS anafront. It finally folded to FROPA like the other guidance has had for days
  12. snowman19
    Right, it’s not going to get warm ROTFLMFAOOO. March looks arctic cold and snowy. And the 300+ hour op GFS?! Lol! Let it go. It’s over Johnny. The fat lady has sung, stick a fork in it, say goodnight and goodbye. Done. Bring down the curtain. Adios. A former winter. It’s dead Jim. In the cemetery. RIP Winter 23-24
  13. snowman19
    Op GFS lol It’s over dude. JB just called it quits. It’s warm as far as the eye can see
  14. snowman19
    The ensembles are a full on torch now for March
  15. snowman19
    I’m sure no one is going to believe this, but the new EPS and GEFS folded on the “better” PAC and Atlantic in the long range. The GEPS never really bought into it and the weeklies kicked the can down the road to late March for the fantasy “good” look the other day. The SSW is falling by the way side too. This one is destined to be a ratter right to the bitter end….
  16. snowman19
    For some reason, I don’t think that fantasy GFS anafront is going to verify. Call me crazy…..
  17. snowman19
    The wildlife at least thinks it’s over. The birds are all out singing early in the morning now. Sounded like mid-March here today
  18. snowman19
    Larry Cosgrove has finally given up in his new blog. He was going for a big cold/snowy winter in the east. Said he thinks it’s over https://clearskyweather.com/2024/02/23/the-weather-pattern-is-looking-distinctly-springlike-except-if-you-live-in-the-west-or-in-canada/
  19. snowman19
    The weeklies are wretched. God awful, horrible, worst I’ve ever seen in all my years as a weather hobbyist. This fail/bust was one for the ages. If the weeklies said the sky was blue I wouldn’t believe them
  20. snowman19
    What a moron he is
  21. snowman19
    Guess the early March SSW is going to go down in flames….again. Doesn’t look like it’s going to downwell into the lower stratosphere and couple with the troposphere. Surprise, surprise….another hyped fail incoming. Time to declare this winter dead
  22. snowman19
    Marginal cold won’t cut it near the coast in mid-late March, you would need anomalous arctic air in place at that point and that’s going to be locked in Eurasia
  23. snowman19
    Wow! A phantom anafront a week out on the operational GFS that’s never going to happen. Looks riveting!
  24. snowman19
    After all the non stop hype from some since November, around 2 weeks total of true arctic cold in mid-January and one 10+ storm (one 8-9 inch storm for my neck of the woods)…going into March…that’s all we have to show for it….pretty sad
  25. snowman19
    I think we’re done outside of some freak, anomalous event which is always a risk every year in mid-late March. Even if we assume the pattern flips at 3/15 (big assumption), at that point, at our latitude, it’s spring climo/sun angle/length of day season. Average highs in the 50’s. The Equinox is only 4 days later and all of the arctic cold is locked on the other side of the hemisphere in Eurasia going into March. We are very likely donzo
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