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snowman19

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Everything posted by snowman19

  1. snowman19
    Here is the new CPC outlook for 2/29 - 3/6:
  2. snowman19
    How’s Thursday’s snowstorm looking?
  3. snowman19
    One week away....Discuss
  4. snowman19
    Did someone really just post the 348 hr op GFS? Lmfaooo
  5. snowman19
    This is how many long range “snowstorms” now since late November that we’re going to track?
  6. snowman19
    This says it all right here, the GFS fantasy “blizzard” is a cutter on the EPS. New EPS through 3/7:
  7. snowman19
    Not the severely cold-biased GFS?! I can’t believe it!!!
  8. snowman19
    Yep, full latitude trough dumps into the west by 3/6. All she wrote...
  9. snowman19
    Hit the repeat button
  10. snowman19
    Sure does, zippo for snow over the next 10 days, no cold air, horrible setup for Thursday, another rainstorm. The beat goes on....
  11. snowman19
    The SPV is forecasted to continue to roar right into March, Kiss of Death.....
  12. snowman19
    Liquid all the way up to Plattsburgh on the GFS, which has a severe cold/east bias at this range. The models are like a pendulum for next week.....swinging back and forth between rain and rain.....
  13. snowman19
    Did you look at the soundings? The boundary layer is junk
  14. snowman19
    Yep. The airmass sucks. Among other big issues. This is a rain event again
  15. snowman19
    Yep, yet another all rain event coming up next week. Another horrible setup all around, zero blocking with a total junk airmass
  16. snowman19
    Just an incredibly positive AO/NAO. You aren’t sustaining sustaining any cold with that garbage over the arctic and North Atlantic. And as Forky pointed out, SE Ridge city coming up. This “winter” is destined go down with the biggest clunkers of the last 25 years; 97-98, 01-02, 11-12.....
  17. snowman19
    SE ridge city. Those SSTAs are blazing. Can you say positive feedback loop? I have a bad feeling this spring/summer/fall is going to torch big time
  18. snowman19
    Yep, it’s short lived and the models once again overdue the -EPO/+PNA in the long range, PAC jet rages back. Agreed about the -PDO
  19. snowman19
    Snow prospects look next to nil through 2/29. The overnight ensembles lend more credence to the first week of March cold shot being only transient. That progression would lead to a very quick mild up after a brief cold shot. It may get very mild by mid-month....
  20. snowman19
    Will you when the very cold and snowy March fails?
  21. snowman19
    It does not change the fact that there is no high latitude blocking, a strong PAC jet, and a very strong SPV. The first week of March is very likely only transient.
  22. snowman19
    Assuming we don’t loose it again, the first week of March is the “best” look we’ve seen since the beginning of December, which isn’t saying much at all. We are going to have to settle for a weaker -EPO than we had early last March. I have to believe this is transient with no -NAO or -AO blocks setting up to trap everything. How long the PAC stays ok is the other question. The PAC jet always seems to rage back and blast any transient EPO/PNA to pieces. Plus the SPV is still strong as hell....
  23. snowman19
    This says it all right here, almost March and still record strong, this is the last nail in the coffin for any hopes of a late, last minute, winter comeback:
  24. snowman19
    We can’t sustain a +PNA to save our lives, as soon as one pops up, the PAC jet crashes into it and knocks it right down. The EPO and especially the NAO and AO don’t want to play ball either
  25. snowman19
    Joe Bastardi using the March, 1960 analog for next month I heard lmfaooo!! No shame. What’s next? March, 1993? That guy really needs to retire, it’s just sad and pathetic now. He has zero credibility, no one takes him seriously. Talk about doing a crash and burn. His forecasts have been dumpster fires for several years now
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