snowman19

Here’s another study: https://journals.ametsoc.org/jcli/article/29/24/8899/34342/The-Stratospheric-Pathway-of-La-Nina

Here it is, go to page 126: https://books.google.com/books?id=PvJyVtw53Y4C&pg=PR4&lpg=PR4&dq=joe+d'aleo+nina+west&source=bl&ots=IZzwDpsLOl&sig=ACfU3U0KjJcmSsDgryXj2AK4mMRkfMomYg&hl=en&sa=X&ved=2ahUKEwidy63sxvfqAhX6gXIEHSDfC50Q6AEwGnoECAUQAQ#v=onepage&q=joe d'aleo nina QBO&f=false

There was a study years ago by Joe D’Aleo which showed a very strong correlation to a negative (easterly) QBO during a La Niña winter resulting in a cold eastern US. The exact opposite was true for positive (westerly) QBO during a La Niña winter, it resulted in a warm eastern US. Also, I believe there was some evidence from a different study which found that La Niña’s that occur during a solar minimum resulted in a colder stratosphere/stratospheric PV than the ones which occurred during periods of higher solar flux. I’m going to look back and see if I can find the links

December

On the bright side, the GFS and Euro are showing a nice warm shot for next weekend, 70’s, maybe even approaching 80 degrees

There might be some wet snow mixed in with the rain but as far as accumulating snow, not happening in the metro area

The NYC metro area is not going to see any accumulating snow at all tomorrow night

Stop listening to Joe Bastardi lol

There’s a mid-level pocket of extremely cold air for April sitting over us. I’m 47 degrees with snow and graupel showers. The last time I can remember temps this warm with snow falling was 2004 I believe if memory serves me correct

Lmfaoo

Why would you be cheering on cold right now?

Rain

The GFS Lmfaoo. Let it go. See you in 9 months

It’s over dude. Give up the snow wishcasts

And what’s your point? NYC isn’t seeing snow again for the next 9+ months....

He thinks it’s going to snow

Not for anywhere near NYC. That ship already sailed weeks ago

Lol I’ll have to look. I stopped following him a few years ago

“There is no global warming...it’s all a big hoax and a conspiracy, all lies”..... OK JB lol

People actually still listen to that delusional idiot? Lmfaooo

The worst was Joe Bastardi, all winter long. I honestly question that man’s mental health. Dude is delusional, possibly has dementia. He really needs to retire, no credibility at all anymore, no one will ever take him seriously again, laughing stock of the weather profession

Pretty good evidence that the -NAO is not going to last and it breaks down completely. Come mid-April it’s probably t-shirts and shorts weather. The AO looks to skyrocket by mid month

Don, I hope I’m wrong but I think there is growing evidence for a scorching hot later spring, summer and fall in our area...developing (possibly significant) La Niña, negative PDO, continued tendency for strong SE ridging/WAR, way above normal SSTs along and off the east coast....

Shocking, another advertised -NAO/-AO getting weaker as we draw closer in time. Next week looks like another total non event. The beat goes on

We have reached the time of the year where in order to get a snowstorm anywhere south of New England you would need either A - A highly anomalous, record arctic outbreak/CAD in place (we don’t have that) or B - A storm to absolutely bomb on the benchmark with very heavy precip rates and very strong UVVs to dynamically cool the column and “create” its own cold air from above. Other than that, you now have climo, a September equivalent sun angle and length of day working overtime against you....