This event (so far) is definitely not behaving like the previous El Niño fails we’ve seen since 2000. IMO this one is for real and it means business. The +IOD, among other things like the WWBs/MJO waves and the dramatic East Pacific warming, tells me this one isn’t just falling apart. Yes, the PDO is “out of phase” right now with a +ENSO, but as has happened in the past, there have been PDO disconnects with both major Niño and Niña events