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EastonSN+

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Everything posted by EastonSN+

  1. EastonSN+
    Depends on one's expectations really. 2018 was historic. I almost received an entire years snowfall after March 1st. I would agree I am not getting a years snowfall this March/April. It will get colder as compared to average. The pattern will still be active. If one is happy with the best pattern for snowfall since December then they will not be disappointed. As always a good pattern does not guarantee snow. However, its better than March 2012.
  2. EastonSN+
    Just run the ensembles on Tropical Tidbits daily. You will see that it has always shown a deep RNA pumping the SER. This has not changed and has not been pushed back. Like I posted every day, March 10th on the EPS and a couple days later on the GEFS. The question has always been how cold and the duration.
  3. EastonSN+
    Yeah not sure on why they named as such.
  4. EastonSN+
    GEPS are the Canadian ensembles. They match the EPS in cold however start the good period a couple days later like the GEFS
  5. EastonSN+
    I don't think any model does not have a thump of snow before the changeover.
  6. EastonSN+
    FWIW GEPS matches the GEFS in timing while matching the EPS in cold. Good middle ground for now.
  7. EastonSN+
  8. EastonSN+
  9. EastonSN+
    That stinks. Here on the south shore was already on the line. Starting the 10th both the EPS and GEFS crush the SE ridge may be a good 10 day period.
  10. EastonSN+
    Borrowed from our NE Friends (technically my forum) 10 to 1 so shave a bit.
  11. EastonSN+
    Welcome! Taking it as you moved here after 20/21
  12. EastonSN+
    Latest HRRR looks good. Does flip however a solid thump before.
  13. EastonSN+
    Yup they meant to date.
  14. EastonSN+
    100% even 1980s remember Danbury getting clocked in the 80s while we had a quick changeover.
  15. EastonSN+
    NWS has 3 to 5 for CPK while TWC has less than 1 inch. They did just state on TV they will likely go above the 0.4 of 97/98.
  16. EastonSN+
    What are your thoughts for CPK accumulation wise.
  17. EastonSN+
    For CPK it still depends on the intensity of the thump before the change. That initial band will make or break the forecast.
  18. EastonSN+
    Also, when you see sleet on a model it does not always mean no accumulation. It could mean 75% snow 25% sleet.
  19. EastonSN+
    Still below average and cold enough.
  20. EastonSN+
    About this storm for areas with borderline temps - it will come down to intensity. If less intensity will be tough with the temps. If it comes in like a wall it will overcome temps. Going with 1 to 3 for CPK.
  21. EastonSN+
    Almost! Courtesy of the MA forum.
  22. EastonSN+
    What a huge 24 hour trend north by the EURO May be the furthest northern now.
  23. EastonSN+
    Hope its just a bad outlier.
  24. EastonSN+
    18z euro?
  25. EastonSN+
    18z euro anyone?
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