EastonSN+

97/98 has been my fear all along. We seem to be in a multi-year period of west coast, central u.s. troughing which could be expected after the long 2000 through 2018 epic period. surprised this pac has not improved given the recent MJO forcing.

We will see it again down the road. May take a few years though.

This is a good sign for El nino forcing. Unlike prior years we look to be looping through the favorable phases. As long as we avoid an El nino like 97/98 we may be in good shape.

Of course, however he was not just referring to northern new England. Part of New England is just a few miles from NYC. That difference could have smoked DC northward.

Great sign for MJO

I think Massachusetts, but that does not matter. What he is explaining would affect the entire East Coast.

GREAT post by ORH wxman on why last December failed. Maybe we cash in this time.

It looks to be setting up that El nino MJO forcing loop at the current time.

Something will, I am sure this has happened before.

Same general issue from last handful of winters. Unfortunately may take a few years to get out of it. Still hopeful for this winter.

Impressive cold for Mexico!

Yeah one of those was above average snowfall.

Yeah, 1955 through 1969 looked like it was extremely snowey, likely like 2000 through 2018. It was a horrible 30 year period for snowfall in between. Not saying we are in another 30 lull, however we have to know that 2000 through 2018 was not the NORM, nor is this period. It changes. We will 100% see another period like 2000 through 2018 or 55 through 69 again, but I would not be shocked if this is our norm for a number of years, with good years sprinkled in. Although 70 through 1999 were terrible, 77, 78, 94 and 96 were tremendous.

Yeah history repeating itself. Its the west coast turn. We had our fun 2000 through 2018. 1955 through 1969 seemed really snowy too looking at the KU book. 30 year periods between great periods?

I feel like 1976 through 1980 was an extremely cold timeframe. Too young but my dad used to talk of it.

Last year's blocking failure was driven by an extremely deep trough off the west coast. That overpowered the block and not shocking. On the bright side an epic winter on the west coast with lots of rain and run-off for the reservoirs.

It will be our turn again. May take a while.

Probably take another 5 to 10 years to get into a colder regime. Of course we can get a good winter or 2 sprinkled in beforehand. Cold dumping into the west coast and middle of the country. We had 2000 through 2018 it's their turn lol.

That's impressive cold doe the middle of the country!

Question, does anyone have temp stats for the 1980s? Forky and others say it was frigid, however outside of 87 and 88 I remember it being really warm. I do remember the storms would always "cut" followed by cold shots.

For the younger folks, 1980s weather. I remember TWC used to use the phrase "just a cold snap in the northeast followed by warmer temps". Definitely would never want to relive the 80s winters again.

Had to look at this again and crack up at the Bridgeport reporting hole again.

Is this a reliable forecast at this juncture?

I was in Norwalk CT. 5.5 inches and lost power for 3 days.