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EastonSN+

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Everything posted by EastonSN+

  1. EastonSN+
    The entire evolution is different WRT that initial low. We need that look to come back.
  2. EastonSN+
    Resulting in this.
  3. EastonSN+
    Yesterday. The initial low gets to PA.
  4. EastonSN+
    It was better than 6z. However our issue is not being closer to the coast but rather the storm gaining latitude. The biggest runs had a double low with the initial low getting to WV. Now that this low is missing the storm forms and moves ENE instead of NE. Perhaps due to the below average water temps up here.
  5. EastonSN+
  6. EastonSN+
    ICON is a delmarva special.
  7. EastonSN+
    Its following the GEFS MJO. Its in phase 6 there. Should pick up on phase 7 2nd week of March.
  8. EastonSN+
    Large dip.
  9. EastonSN+
    Sharp dip now.
  10. EastonSN+
    Just want it to get to 7 quicker especially for my area by the south coast.
  11. EastonSN+
    Still not getting there fast enough
  12. EastonSN+
    Really hoping to get this to 7 in enough time (considering lag) to give us one more window. CPK can easily snow through mid March (my area until late March). Need to be installed 7 by the first IMO.
  13. EastonSN+
    I know. I have seen probably hundreds of storms dissappear. I have never seen a situation where ALL models including crap models like the JMA and ICON show something then its gone. 2015 at least the EURO had the NAM by its side being INCORRECT).
  14. EastonSN+
    Someone posted a while back the ocean temps, which were running well below average. The configuration of the temps off the coast would favor a further south track moving ENE. Wonder if this is part of the issue this year.
  15. EastonSN+
    I am not disappointed in the fact that a storm in the LR disappeared. Its the model performance. I have never seen this before.
  16. EastonSN+
    All models beat by a model that will be replaced lol. Why couldn't thebEURO be king in January 2015.
  17. EastonSN+
    I never do. I am more disappointed in the model performance. I have never seen something like this before.
  18. EastonSN+
    C+ winter potentially ending with a thud unless mid March delivers (MJO phase 7). April is the absolute worst month of the year (55 rain breezy).
  19. EastonSN+
    I don't think I have ever seen ALL models show a major hit and just one model show nothing and that one model being correct.
  20. EastonSN+
    I don't know if I ever saw all models and ensembles show a monster hit with JUST one model showing nothing and that model being correct.
  21. EastonSN+
    The writing was on the wall with the GEFS showing very little support for the op along with the EURO AI shifting se.
  22. EastonSN+
    The only teleconectiion that supported a big hit was the negative PNA. Red flag.
  23. EastonSN+
    Not over yet but the funny part was the EURO op stood alone at one point lol. Atrocious model performance outside of the EURO despite the fact that it was over 5 days.
  24. EastonSN+
    From MA forum
  25. EastonSN+
    They posted the GEFS too. 7 out of 30 members have 6 plus. 2 members foot plus. 15 members 1 to 3 or nothing.
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