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EastonSN+

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Everything posted by EastonSN+

  1. EastonSN+
    Correct the sample size is extremely small.
  2. EastonSN+
    I never said 15/16 or 82/83 was an anomaly.
  3. EastonSN+
    Exactly! The data set is extremely small so it's ridiculous to state any 1 year is an anomaly.
  4. EastonSN+
    Ok, let's say that this year does not become super, how is 33.33% an anomaly?
  5. EastonSN+
    Correct 4 strong El ninos. Bad = 97/98 and 23/24 Ok = 82/83 and 15/16 Difference? The ok years had KUs.
  6. EastonSN+
    If this year was a central based moderate El nino then yes I would not be happy.
  7. EastonSN+
    Lol there were 4 events. 2 bad 2 ok. That's 50%
  8. EastonSN+
    Completely agree! Also, there are a couple of more chances at light snow events before we warm!
  9. EastonSN+
    There were 4 events and 2 were putrid, please explain why 97/98 is an aberration?
  10. EastonSN+
    You KNOW that I am the only person? Why would you even write that? Also, why is it not correct to compare strong El Nino events?
  11. EastonSN+
    Thing is you always play with fire when you have a strong El Nino. Also, you have to take into consideration the background state. 15/16 was in our 00/18 period. 97/98 was in our putrid 70/99 30 year period. I honestly exceeded what I expected going into this year. If you want you can reference 82/83, but then you need to consider that this is the 4th strong El nino, so 50% chance at a one storm event bringing us to average snowfall? Very Strong: 1982-83, 1997-98, 2015-16.
  12. EastonSN+
    Not really, the west coast, Tennessee and the MA are doing well, and that's good when comparing to 97/98.
  13. EastonSN+
    Yup, that's why I worry about flipping to a warmer pattern for March.
  14. EastonSN+
    Right, but that may mean 7,8,1 for April.
  15. EastonSN+
    Worry that we are entering warm MJO phases too early. I would much rather have a cold snowy March than a cold rainy April.
  16. EastonSN+
    By then we will be solidly in the warm phases of the MJO without blocking so would take an oddity to affect you.
  17. EastonSN+
    South of us too! DC and Baltimore are around average snowfall for this time of year and have a legit shot at reaching. It's Philly, CPK and oddly Boston in this year snow hole. Even with poor measurement, CPK has more snowfall than the entirety of 97/98. They can still see a couple more inches before things fall apart around the 24th.
  18. EastonSN+
    Completely agree! Sure 15/16 and 82/83 were better, however avoiding 97/98 was great.
  19. EastonSN+
    We can't complain this year, we performed far better than 97/98 even if we have seen out last snow!! Avoided first back to back sub 10 inch seasons in my lifetime. Sitting at 12.5.
  20. EastonSN+
    DC has a real good shot at having an average snowfall winter!!
  21. EastonSN+
    Still looks good through the 24th before we warm again.
  22. EastonSN+
    Go with the UKMET
  23. EastonSN+
    I know complete joke. I can't trust records out of that place.
  24. EastonSN+
    8 inches final at Easton CT.
  25. EastonSN+
    8 inches final at Easton CT.
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