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EastonSN+

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  1. EastonSN+
    This is the one I was referring to in 2022.
  2. EastonSN+
    Here was one.
  3. EastonSN+
    Your thinking of the 2021 storm. The storm I am referring to missed us south. In fact it was south of DC. Hammered south and central Virginia through Norfolk and the Delmarva.
  4. EastonSN+
    The Jan 25/26 storm looks almost identical to the MA storm 2 years ago!
  5. EastonSN+
    13.83
  6. EastonSN+
    86 through 90, 15.34. Following year 24.9. 97 through 01, 15.90. Following year 3.5.
  7. EastonSN+
    Hi Don, Looking at some of the worst 5 year runs in terms of snowfall to compare to the last 5 years INCLUDING THIS YEAR in an assumption that CPK is shut out, even if unlikely. I focused on 1928 through 1932 today. Interesting comparison: 1928 through 1932 avg - 11.76 2020 through 2024 avg - 13.18 1933 ended up with 27. Hopefully next year yields the same results.
  8. EastonSN+
    If you have a deep -EPO and a slight RNA, then we could be frigid. Especially if the RNA is not static (i.e. the winter averages RNA however you have PNA spikes). Would be good to see a PNA chart from that year.
  9. EastonSN+
    I think CPK had 5.5 What was crazy was the humidity that month.
  10. EastonSN+
    Yeah it was at night temps started out around 40 then the heavy precip cooled and ended up with 4 IMBY
  11. EastonSN+
    Completely agree. We scored a moderate event in February 2018 in a sea of 50 to 70 degree warmth all month. If we can get a moderate event then, why not now.
  12. EastonSN+
    Thanks again Don, I have always been interested in the two periods given both were very snowy periods, each with numerous KUs. They always stood out from 1970 to 1999 and 2019 through now. I hope a study is published explaining each, proving/disproving any correlation between the periods (most likely each period was dominated by blocking).
  13. EastonSN+
    Thanks as always Don, I find it interesting that our better years fall into the two highly snowy periods of 1955 through 1969 as well as 2000 through 2018. Is there an apparent cause for these periods? I believe per the MA forum that 2000 through 2018 was a positive PNA regime as compared to the RNA regime previously and currently. Do you know if 1955 through 1969 had a predominant PNA as well?
  14. EastonSN+
    Just for discussion purposes (not necessarily my thoughts about the ultimate outcome), the 2nd least amount of snowfall for CPK was 3.8 in 1918/1919. Can this winter take 2nd place?
  15. EastonSN+
    Thanks for all that you do/have done! What is insane is once again BDR is beating me for snowfall again. Only at 4.5 in Easton CT.
  16. EastonSN+
    GREAT job this morning!! This is what I enjoy, intelligent discussions which can lead to new ideas/hypothesis. A lot of posters/readers have benefited.
  17. EastonSN+
    Yup I posted the plots before. Same exact progression.
  18. EastonSN+
  19. EastonSN+
    Like train tracks.....we wait for phase 1.
  20. EastonSN+
    Gotcha. Here on the CT coast the first two storms had more to do with poor radar returns than warmth.
  21. EastonSN+
    The last storm didn't stick there? It was in the 20s and it stuck to the jersey shore.
  22. EastonSN+
    We would have been in the purple too, like central Jersey, if the last storm gained latitude. Track hurt us.
  23. EastonSN+
    It has more to do with track than warmth. The last storm was cold enough everywhere, however it stayed south.
  24. EastonSN+
    Still a better year than 97/98 lol. The MJO is doing exactly what it did in December. Unfortunately we may be looking at 2nd half of month or a bit later. Not ideal.
  25. EastonSN+
    Also shows how timing/luck plays in. If the last storm was a little farther north, the first storm intensified a little earlier/deeper.
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