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Everything posted by EastonSN+
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No clue unfortunately
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Another point that Dark Star references to is the Arctic pool of colder air. It LOOKS per Bluewave's post that some pretty negative anomolies are on the west coast. Now, unfortunately for this storm and this run through phases 1 and 2, the cold pool did not arrive on our side in advance. However, now that it is as long as it stays on our side our next trip through 1 and 2 may be quite nice.
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Actually can stall in phases 1 and 2 as well given the IO temps.
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Phase 1 as well. Western IO temps are rising fast and really high now.
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
EastonSN+ replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
I was actually happy getting to 2.5 inches. To be honest I thought I was going to bust with only a half inch.- 3,610 replies
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I was actually happy getting to 2.5 inches. To be honest I thought I was going to bust with only a half inch.
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Yeah it definitely is. I do hold hope for another high amplitude in phase 1 due to the high western IO temps. February can get interesting IMO.
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Correct. The theme of the 80s was cold and dry warm and wet. I know a lot post that the 80s were FRIGID, however I do not remember that growing up. Rather I remember almost never getting a darn snow day. My dad saying it never snows anymore. I believe 80 through 84 may have had below average temps on average, while 85 through 89 were above (I do not have evidence of this, just going off snowfall distribution which was ok 80 through 84, however the second half CPK averaged less that 16 inches!!).
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I HATE wind events. I bet this happens at night too which is the worst.
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1980s (perhaps 1970s) through 1999 the trough was mainly in the west coast. However 2000 through 2018 the trough was mainly in the east, which is actually what help lead the the low reservoir levels in the SW. The past few years, especially last year, the reservoirs out there have increased dramatically. Since 2018 we have moved back to an RNA cycle it seems. The above are averages, obviously you had the opposite occuring less frequently during these periods). Below are the percentages of troughing in the Pacific, so not exactly PNA vs RNA.
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Yup I already got that, just wanted to know how far back this data went back (perhaps 1950).
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Thanks Bluewave! It's pretty incredible that we never experienced the cutter storm track in a strong el nino before. How far back was this data taken? Really surprised 82/83 did not have a mean trough out west.
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Snow stopping here in Easton CT. 2.5 OTG
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
EastonSN+ replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Snow stopping here in Easton CT. 2.5 OTG.- 3,610 replies
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- snow
- heavy rain
- (and 5 more)
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
EastonSN+ replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Gotcha. It's too bad CPK only received .02, was hoping they would break the streak.- 3,610 replies
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- 2
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- snow
- heavy rain
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
EastonSN+ replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
That's crazy Don! Surprised you have not seen any accumulation!- 3,610 replies
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- snow
- heavy rain
- (and 5 more)
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
EastonSN+ replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
It's raining there now?- 3,610 replies
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- snow
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
EastonSN+ replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
It's stalled there but moving in from the SE off the ocean.- 3,610 replies
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- snow
- heavy rain
- (and 5 more)
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Two Mdt to high impact events NYC subforum; wknd Jan 6-7 Incl OBS, and mid week Jan 9-10 (incl OBS). Total water equiv by 00z/11 general 2", possibly 6" includes snow-ice mainly interior. RVR flood potential increases Jan 10 and beyond. Damaging wind.
EastonSN+ replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Watch the dual pole from south of LI. You can see the line moving nw.- 3,610 replies
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Bluewave, Brooklyn, Allsnow - Chuck did say we are in a decadal RNA. Also, we were in one in the 80s and 90s. Now, 94/95 and 97/98 were failed El ninos in a decadal RNA pattern, so is this year an example, like the 90s, where El ninos work against us in a decadal RNA? Does this mean, like 21/22 and 95/96, that's la ninas work better in decadal RNAs?
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I do like the rising ocean temps off Africa for phase 1.
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Here is a legit question, did ANY El nino work out for us in the 90s? 94/95 and 97/98 were complete duds. 95/96 was a la Nina.
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Would be tail end if this is correct.