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EastonSN+

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Everything posted by EastonSN+

  1. EastonSN+
    Thanks Don, it's shocking how important the PNA is for our area, even with substantial blocking in place. We had the PNA dominated pattern from 2000 through 2018 which must have added in the plethora of 6+events.
  2. EastonSN+
    Also heat island effect is growing YOY.
  3. EastonSN+
    All time record winter cold daily high temps are going to be challenged in the center of the country with this outbreak (per TWC most records there were from the 70s). Definitely will be modified as it's pulled east by the cutter, however should at least put as below average for a while.
  4. EastonSN+
    Watched TWC this morning. Some serious cold coming to the US! Apparently records may fall in the center of the country (record high temps from the late 70s).
  5. EastonSN+
    We brought back the coastal hugger from the dead. It's the clipper's turn.
  6. EastonSN+
    Think this was a great post by WxUSAF (we had a great 2017/2018 as the only caveat).
  7. EastonSN+
    Not saying the EURO will be correct, however it's kind of nice seeing coastal "huggers" again. I thought they were extinct lol. Now that the huggers are back from extinction let's bring back the Alberta clippers. Great for the local ski resorts.
  8. EastonSN+
    Are those accurate? Keep hearing that these models tend to overdo wind.
  9. EastonSN+
    It honestly looks like a replica of the last story, albeit with a colder air mass ahead and behind the system so more snowfall potential.
  10. EastonSN+
    December failed as we had a trough to Baja Mexico.
  11. EastonSN+
    Isn't phase 7 decent in El ninos? I may be mistaken.
  12. EastonSN+
    I think our biggest risk with that wave is it being sheared.
  13. EastonSN+
    Yeah I was thinking/leary about this look this morning. Perhaps a better shot at front end snows even if the track is inland?
  14. EastonSN+
    Thanks Walt! It seems like it's been forever since central/NE PA have had multiple good snow periods. Lol it seemed that the "coastal hugger" was extinct for a few years. Even if this ends up being a "hugger" scenario, the ski resorts of the Poconos, Catskills, Litchfield hills and Berkshires can benefit.
  15. EastonSN+
    Thanks for posting here this is great!
  16. EastonSN+
    Correct. When there is an RNA there is always risk of both cutter and sheared. The times where the Neg. NAO worked with an RNA are usually when the the PNA is in a transitory state, not continuous.
  17. EastonSN+
    Thanks Chuck its great to have u posting in this forum.
  18. EastonSN+
    Yeah CPK had a couple opportunities. It's tough in an RNA cycle but not impossible. The warm gulf stream can give a storm a good moisture boost as well.
  19. EastonSN+
    I am sure we will get one this decade as well. 2022 was close.
  20. EastonSN+
    Our average snowfall the second half of the 80s was 11.125 inches (CPK). So even if it stuck around more it was pretty bad. Basically, you could have the same pattern 150 years ago, it would still yield little snow. I remembered many storms where it was in the teens that morning and we warmed up and rained then had flash freezes. RNA patterns yield cutters unfortunately. It may take a number of years to reset to a PNA pattern again. I am just happy I lived through 2000 through 2018.
  21. EastonSN+
    They will be, and the southern half of this forum came very close this storm, it was unfortunate that there was an RNA and the strong El nino torched December and kept the Arctic air on the other side of the globe. That is changing now and the cold is on our side. My only fear would be the 1980s cold and dry warm and wet scenario given that we are in an RNA cycle.
  22. EastonSN+
    Technically December 22 and March 2023. The RNA was in a bad position and down to Baja. No NAO can over power that deep of a trough. We got accumulating snow yesterday due to the fact that the RNA was not nearly as deep and a little east of last year's.
  23. EastonSN+
    I used to use - or + but I learned RNA from Typhoon Tip in the NE forum.
  24. EastonSN+
    So BDR has 3 and finally ended their streak. Did HPN also receive an accumulation?
  25. EastonSN+
    Yup that is a good look. Obviously nothing is guaranteed however we would definitely take our chances with that.
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