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EastonSN+

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  1. EastonSN+
    Was captured a bit later on the icon so I was able to move a bit further east before turning North also when it was captured the precipitation shield expanded West (watered down 2013). Positive to see we still got a hit but negative to see it did move with the other guidance East or later capture. Regardless of what the GFS shows it's going to be interesting to see the 18z euro
  2. EastonSN+
    I have no idea. I'm hoping Brooklyn WX jumps in this thread and puts a positive post up. Have to admit this was extremely deflating. I thought the southeast ridge was unbeatable.
  3. EastonSN+
    It's Southeast ridge versus fast flow in this scenario.
  4. EastonSN+
    I posted a lot earlier that I feared that this would miss us. Seeing the CMC move drastically East since 0z is also concerning.
  5. EastonSN+
    I hope this ends up being the Southeastern most outlier but looking at the ensembles that's not the case.
  6. EastonSN+
    Did not like seeing the individual members of the eps. At least nine of the 25 members show that worst case scenario of the Delmarva capen Islands. 5 give us the foot plus scenario. 4 give us a 6 to 12 scenario. 5 are complete misses.
  7. EastonSN+
    You're in the best spot for this one. Central Jersey as well basically like all season.
  8. EastonSN+
    From the New England forum.
  9. EastonSN+
    It could be an over-correction however we have to watch that kicker out west it was further east this run.
  10. EastonSN+
    It is amazing that the EURO track/snowfall hammers the exact spots that have been hit all year.
  11. EastonSN+
    Amendment. EURO is now the southeast outlier. Wish it was any other model. Still gives 1 to 3.
  12. EastonSN+
    Kicker Storm out West was a bit east.
  13. EastonSN+
    Seems the Storm out West was a little further east and perhaps kicked it out before it could gain latitude.
  14. EastonSN+
    Looks like the kicker out west pushed it out before it could climb. However it did keep with the winter theme of a light event here and the Delmarva and Virginia getting crushed.
  15. EastonSN+
    It's great that all the models give snow at this point. UKMET is now the most tucked with the GFS the most progressive. AI moved West which was great however the CMC moved closer to the GFS however is still a good 6 to 12 hit. Still 5 days out however we are seeing the goal posts here. If you take out the outliers of the UKMET and the AI we have at minimum a 6 to 12 inches event as it looks at this time. Probably more like 8 to 14. Love to see a megalopolis storm has been a while.
  16. EastonSN+
    How does the gefs look? Did it move west a little?
  17. EastonSN+
    Hoping some of us can pad our stats. Not looking great for Central Park however hopefully a half inch to an inch.
  18. EastonSN+
    Thanks. That's crazy for 09/10.
  19. EastonSN+
    Sorry to bother Don, however has there ever been a year with 2 -4SD AOs in the same winter season? If so in back to back months? We seem to be seeing a lot of strong -AOs lately. Thanks
  20. EastonSN+
    GEFS took a step back. On to 0z.
  21. EastonSN+
    Maybe the SE ridge was not as strong on this model suite?
  22. EastonSN+
    Technically I live in New England so I'm safe.
  23. EastonSN+
    The NAM showed nothing for the last event as well And the NWS didn't buy it.
  24. EastonSN+
    Yeah those who just lived through 2000 onwards I can see panic. Otherwise we see how much of any we shave off of the 1970 to 1999 average.
  25. EastonSN+
    I think the NWS snowfall map is spot on, pretty much aligns with the EURO.
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