We always have this one to look forward too LOL
Obviously the only model showing this BUT the air mass is much colder at this time. The way this year has gone it will be suppressed like the GFS is showing. Sorry if this belongs in the March thread.
NYC, LI and coastal NJ will be tough, however like you mentioned intensifying a bit further south and closer and the aforementioned locations can get accumulating snow.
Massive massive potential for 84.
That's cause January acted like an El Nino. The December and February (with the latest storms and records) was a west displaced la Nina trough.
It just happens that California went from one pattern to another that hit them hard. Like in 95/96 where each pattern alternation we went into happened to work out for us. The same is happening this year for them.
That was January only. December February and March had a deep trough over California allowing the storms to move South and the cold air to drain. Please take a look.
Take a look at the trough positioning. You will see why California had all this precipitation. It's still a west coast trough displaced west of the Rockies. That is la Nina.