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EastonSN+

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Everything posted by EastonSN+

  1. Looking at the GEFS and EPS there are changes way out. EPS has shifted the trough from mid country to east coast to match GEFS. Colder look. Keeps weaker blocking. GEFS completely looses the blocking by day 15. However: 1.) Positive PNA keeps the trough and cold east 2.) As Bluewave and LI have stated -4 AOs in December usually lead to late season blocking.
  2. I lucked out with 1.5 last night (I am only .75 miles north of the Merritt). 10/11 did not snow will boxing day 00/01 not till December 30 12/13 only one 4.5 event in December Reason I raise those is they all had serious blocking where we had to wait up till a month to score, and in 12/13 February. Also, I trust Forky's opinion as he only opines when he feels there is legitimate potential. He bumped yesterday where he said we start scoring after Christmas.
  3. Stole from the MA forum. Have we ever seen -4 followed by a -5 AO in the same month before?
  4. Yeah I would be shocked if we were shut out during this upcoming period, for with the cold nearby we can score in changeover events and weak trailing waves at the very least. I do think the ceiling is very high and still has KU potential.
  5. You know I was thinking about that, freezing cold warm up rain freezing cold after the front. Some of those winters had a bad rap though, a lot of them were 75% of average which is basically like last winters total. Not great but not ratter after ratter.
  6. 1 inch in Easton CT. Good to get on the board.
  7. GEFS looks better than the EPS, which centers the trough in the center of the country.
  8. That heavy band on the Jersey shore stationary.
  9. GFS looks roughly the same as 12z. Looks frigid behind the storm.
  10. Hate not to absolutely love what the GEFS is showing. Looks like the GEFS is now colder than the EPS. BOTH have a PNA and some semblance of blocking. It's early of course, but if next week's storm fails, we should have a FEW more opportunities ahead!
  11. I have to be honest, in over 20 years as a weather hobbyist my snowfall history follows the snowfall maps much closer than the snow depth maps which seem to always be too low.
  12. Temps are a bit suss. NEW haven already 36. Will there be wet bulbing?
  13. I love how the blocking never goes away completely.
  14. Ugh it gives long island more than Fairfield county!
  15. My local cable news said mixed precip coating to 1
  16. Was in SW coastal CT and got 6 at the very end.
  17. Honestly with a track/setup like this back-end accumulating snows are very possible. Not saying this is 92, but had 6 inches down to the coast in that storm after 2 days of rain.
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