EastonSN+

So LGA is the only NYC airport with accumulating snow of 0.4 Goes with the recent trend of east is best.

Almost feel lucky to be sitting at 1.5 inches on the CT coastal plain.

Your both right. It's rain to snow. IF happens would likely be snow for at least part of the forum.

LGA has 0.4 for snowfall https://nwschat.weather.gov/p.php?pid=202212121321-KOKX-NOUS41-PNSOKX

I hope it's fairly dry during this period.

Was it as good as a setup as we just went through? I kind of remember that season being extremely dry.

I remember all the hype due to the models, but did we ever have a good a setup as we just had?

Yeah this 100% feels different than the ratters of the past. 97/98, 11/12, 19/20 never had a setup like we are in/just had. The aforementioned seasons looked hopeless from minute one. Maybe 01/02 since the models constantly teased us, however again it never had the setup we just had outside of modeling. Half the forum already had a snowfall, one storm was northwest of us, the next one is going to end up Southeast of us and weak. We were stuck in the middle. I posted it before, but if December 2000 did not phase on time, if December 2010 was just a smidge east we would be in the same boat as this year. Shows how luck/timing plays in. We were spoiled for years now where it seemed like every single good setup produced. Could this be 89/90 where we actually WERE in a good pattern that did not produce much then went on to rat? It could just as easily be 12/13 and we had a spectacular finish.

Uh oh https://www.wired.com/story/climate-environment-hurricane/ El Niño Is Coming—and the World Isn’t Prepared

I feel like we were extremely spoiled since 2000, probably the same as the 50s and 60s were for great snowfall. Oh God I hope we are not in the midst of a repeat of 1970 through 1999. Terrible 30 years save 77/78, 93/94 and 95/96.

Perhaps lining up for this period. Maybe the ridge east helps us this time.

Coupled without an RNA?

Maybe seeing the beginning of the Blocking return?

Yeah, IMBY only 3 below average snowfall winters each decade, which is insane considering how poor the 70s, 80s and 90s were.

Yeah, hopefully next time it will have less influence/not be there at all. I respect Chris and I personally do not have an opinion to which is correct, but you should check out Orh Wxman and Coastal WX Mets in the New England forum. Their opinion is the PAC is what ultimately failed us. Again NOT saying which is right, just that there are multiple opinions on why we failed, and maybe it's both.

17/18 was a top 5 winter for me. 1.) Had 56 inches of snow IMBY (average 30 to 35) 2.) Had great warmth in February (I love warm weather) 3.) Had the snowiest March/April in my lifetime with 28 inches 4.) Had a good snowy December 5.) Had a monster early Jan snowstorm

I think 4.5 over/under is a good snow line for January. Not sure which I would choose ATM.

Yeah, the late 90s were far worse than the past 4 years WRT snowfall. This year TBD. Will be interesting to see if blocking does return.

December was just bad luck that's all. Per my post, 2000 was one storm away from a wasted neg NAO. 2010 was one storm away from wasting a neg NAO. It happens. Where we live there are no guarantees. On the flip side, we had a good snow event in February 2018 where we hit 70 in a furnace this January has no chance to beat. So why can't that happen again this January? This past storm was too far northwest. Next storm will be too far SE. You and MJO should make a bet on the over under snowfall for January. Would you take over/under for Central Park, 4.5 inches?

Thanks for this. It's amazing how some months are a hair away from looking completely different. 2000 was very very close to being a complete shut out. If that storm was just a bit east/late, would be the record holder. You were correct at the beginning of the month when you pointed out that 2010 was way stronger than this block, and should in no way compare. In the end 2010 was a historic block. That being said, how much snow would Central Park have if the boxing day blizzard was too far east like the models had? Maybe half an inch? Goes to show how lucky we have been, and this month is a reminder that now matter how cold it is or how favorable the pattern looks, snowfall is never guaranteed at our latitude/elevation. IMBY going to finish with 1.5 inches. Amazing.

Emerging in 8?

Emerging in 8?

Martha's vineyard on TWC with ocean effect snow! Looks great there.

Yup SW CT did good on boxing day (16 inches). Eastern CT definitely dry slotted. We did have a 3.5 incher on the SW coast December 12. I hope blocking returns with a vengeance!

They probably figure that they won't need it all all later this winter