I guess by “going south” in this case I am referring to the press of cold air pushing the best narrow band to our south. Until we stop getting the shaft in this area, I am gonna note well when guidance points to how we are getting the shaft this time. Since Sunday midday the models have consistently pushed the band of good snow south as they finally locked onto the cold press. Was in central PA, now, DC south. That TREND is hard to ignore. I don’t see any reason to say it will pop back north other than the hope we all carry for better outcomes for our area. This one looks like 48 hours of seeing good returns and reading joy from a lot of our area just to the south while we are frustrated here. The January 2018 or 19 frustration storm (whichever year Ellicott city got 11 inches and I got just under five and the best snow never could pierce 695 comes to mind).
hope I am wrong, but 2-4 into dry air over 48 hours would kinda blow for my area.