@stormtracker @yoda @Ji sorry for your lack of sleep but on an up note it was really great to wake up to your PBPs and discussions in the two threads. Really helped get things oriented while sifting through the overnight runs. Gracias.
When did east of C'ville turn into a desert? What's up with the GFS streaming precip to just west of C'ville and then pretty much drying it out? Weird depiction.
Feels like that is maybe characteristic of a nina year? We went through that a few years back in a Nina where we could not get it within 5 days. This year within 2.
At 8:00 pm on Reelz channel there is a Gangsters: American Most Evil episode focusing on three brothers who "terrorized the mason-dixon line in the 1970s". will report back on if it was snow disappointment from the 1972/73 winter that set them off.
I guess given my profession I don't want to have to jump through the hoops and get a card and on a registry. Just want to pick it up legally without the other. Like, say, DC and other magical places.
I will say, the 10th - 12th event continuing to go sideways along with a series of disastrous runs for the "epic" pattern over the next few weeks has been a special series of hours of fail, yes.
We've been down this road in past winters. I am NOT making a prediction for how it goes this time, but what you are describing is NOT odd. A weak disturbance hitting a wall of colder air that dries out QPF on the northern edges is very familiar. Happens plenty.
Your comparison in the other thread was instructive - and the dry air horseshoe style "bite" toward balt city on even the good models is what has my attention...really riding a line here for our area up to PSU.