Forecasting this winter has gotten pretty simple - people are looking at which model has done "better" and at what leads. That's not the way to do it.
From near as I can tell, you want to look at the models 36 hours before the event, see where Balt City is - take a blend of the two showing the LEAST for that area, and then look at what they are showing for your area in relation to it. Step 2. Start a Facebook winter weather page. Step 3. Profit.