@WxUSAF wrote:
Generally, but...not sure that holds here, where we have a cold press and waves. Get that boundary a hair too far south and the dry air eats precip at the edges. That would be my failure mode for my 'hood on this one, frankly, so I am raising an eyebrow. And, that the areas that keep bullseyeing wander back into the bullseye makes the old "atmospheric memory" box get checked too...