North Balti Zen

True banter thought - whenever I read someone say a long range prog looks good and then says "hopefully we can avoid ______" - I think reflexively think, yeah, we won't avoid _______"... See e.g. - My reflexive thought: gonna be a big ridge bridge fo' sho'...

Yeah, big picture, it's good news. In the moment, I totally get the frustration. The atmosphere is a fickle mistress when it comes to snow desires for sure...

Could have been zero tho...it ended up being a memorable storm - sorry it didn't snow more for you for sure, I am just glad it wasn't a full zero situation for us.

Well that extra sucks on a cold Friday, RIP to Catherine O'Hara. One of the real ones.

He was spot on - the lack of help in melting that we usually get not happening this time due to the prolonged cold is super rare and clearly something that snow removal operations here need and can usually rely on. It happening on the heels of an extremely unusual storm given the snow with sleet topper is quite a thing. I was not here in 2007 - for those that experienced that valentine's day sleet bomb, did it go cold for a week or two after locking all that ice in? And, hell, even that storm didn't have the base of snow under it that this one did, I don't think, from what you all who were here have talked about with it.

bouncing around the back of the car like it is the 1970s...

Also, again, not for nothing, but thank the snow weenies gods we cashed in as much as we did last weekend at the start of this pattern. If we had indeed missed out on that only to watch the next several storms bury the outer banks this place would be rightfully apoplectic. We tend to miss the first storm in a favorable pattern so gonna take a glass half full view that I am glad we hit what we did. The aftermath of that storm has been quite a thing to behold. We don't tend to get area-wide glaciers of snowcover. This is one for the memorybooks...

Sure - but the depth of the cold and the duration has verified barneys. It's just that...barneys like that tend to come at a dry cost. I saw that for the entire decade of the 80s in central Ohio - we popped -10s and -20s regimes several times that decade - and were dry as fuck each time. This isn't THAT cold but over here, it is not gonna be. But prolonged single digit lows area-wide is quite unusual for us and representative of the kind of cold that really isn't conducive to snow chances paradoxically.

fwiw, every time I see someone get all excited over barney purples for cold showing up on progs I roll my eyes so fucking hard - because that kind of cold sitting over us usually sucks total ass for snow and...POINTS AT THE CURRENT REGIME WE ARE IN...here we are. Barneys on the map are good for the Carolinas.

6 in Fallston for second morning in a row.

I make a motion that we as a board accept and understand that modeling the atmosphere given its dynamics and fluidness and wetness and dryness and butterfly farts and what not and putting that model in motion and expecting it to be spot on at any point more than 24 hours from any event for any one precise set of locations is a fool's hope and instead use the models for the tools they are to identify potential periods of unsettled weather and plan accordingly. Do I hear a second?

That's really fun - what a great thing to do for and with your kids!

6 in Fallston - lowest one yet for my particular location.

Good lord, really? That's exceptionally awesome - how did you make/carve the pieces? Forms?

@aldie 22there we go - from the other thread...

That's gonna suck for Raleigh when it misses to their south...

Really glad we scored what we did last weekend - looks really cold and really dry for quite a stretch now.

Maybe go ahead and unbuckle...

It’s pretty clear to me it’s gonna get kicked east - just based on weight of the modeling - weenie hope is that kicker isn’t modeled correctly due to lack of sampling lol- I’ve been on this board well longer than a bunch of the newer posters have been alive and I know what it means when we arrive at that scrap of hope…

10 degrees here in fallston - same as this time yesterday.

We are one day from SREF hallucinations if people keep summoning that evil…

just an "ahem" to everyone - as long as this particular poster is noting this, I remain interested... Thanks for the drop-in, Pete.

Harford County schools closed on Wednesday.

I am just glad one of the globals is still a hit. Makes each model run more interesting.

10 so far in Fallston - but sometimes drops a few degrees from here oddly.