qg_omega
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Everything posted by qg_omega
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What a terrible pattern for the rest of the month
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Really ugly look for us
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Huge change and kudos to you for understanding the impact of the very warm waters in 4 5 6 slowing down the convection
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40s are normal and cold for NYC in December, multiple 50s to 60s have become the new normal and we likely see that this weekend and very likely additional days this month
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Agreed, but cold and stormy hype pays the bills https://x.com/bigjoebastardi/status/1730904418617352518?s=46&t=m4Eqkekadb-JCXTm7k-Txg
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Winter severe season looks to get going this weekend
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MJO spending sufficient time outside of the warm phases, not seeing any evidence of that yet. Cold moving to our side of the globe (currently opposite) and an improved PAC. Basically the opposite of what we will have for December
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You scored on the early season “cold” pattern, unfortunately that looks to change now for the next 4 to 6 weeks
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Mid month torch, can call these years out at this point
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Spot on, incredible analysis as usual from you
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Yup most expected this December to be awful, most
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I read what you said wrong, this shows even an AO under 1 now just gets us back to what we had without it
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Unfortunately, this is not correct
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Decent looking as expected, above normal. Only question is +4 vs +8
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with the block we are +2 to +4, without it we would be +6 to +8
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Cold air will be in the other side of the pole all month, we are blocking PAC air, go warm
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Very impressive Super Nino
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Hello Winter
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A day near 70 in December fits the persistence pattern we are in
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Got a couple of inches even at lake level, 400ish feet. Forecast was just rain, about 7 inches up at Gore and another storm where Gore cleaned up as Whiteface rained, second time this past week
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Well forecasted on the models, if you actually believed the output. NWS dismissed for most, was a great storm for the mountains
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11 to 16 forecasts, even if all in agreement, are very low skill
