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qg_omega

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Everything posted by qg_omega

  1. Blocking further south now, not the same. Further south blocking has become a winter staple
  2. If IYBY is all of the Northeast and Atlantic Canada, agreed
  3. This is insane for the time of year and storm track, madness again. One of the worst Decembers ever. Also this storm track and outcome hasn’t changed on the OPs from 300+ hours out
  4. Posted in NYC thread I dont see anything to get excited about in the long range, transient cold to start the year but pattern favors clippers or cutters unfortunately
  5. Historically bad December in terms of winter for most of the country and Canada, rivals the most epic fail starts off all time
  6. I dont see anything to get excited about in the long range, transient cold to start the year but pattern favors clippers or cutters unfortunately
  7. Ok https://x.com/paulroundy1/status/1737798350517252271?s=46&t=m4Eqkekadb-JCXTm7k-Txg
  8. Negative PNA is favored for January
  9. Insane warmth this month, November was a more wintry month yet again
  10. Last years December was miles better than this month, had record cold vs record warmth across the country
  11. Incredible warm start to winter for the country and the continent, historic warmth fueled by the super Nino. Classic well coupled strong Nino
  12. That’s the point, ensembles have showed the better pattern 10 to 15 days away and are wrong. Canada is a blow torch and I don’t see any changes until Canada cools down significantly. The conus warmth this month and into YEAR END is historic. We aren’t just going to “flip” colder without massive changes. I see nothing for the next three weeks, maybe I’ll be wrong, lets hope. The reasons I outlined two weeks ago have not changed.
  13. Toward the end of the month is mid January? Nothing looks good for the next three weeks
  14. Here just yesterday and many many more as we go back in time
  15. Can you post the good ensembles? OP remains extremely consistent
  16. Facepalm, did we not learn a thing from last winter? We literally been over this topic numerous times, I can pull the thread from last year when ensembles always looked good 10 days away and OPs looked awful.
  17. Saw that last year, OPs won the day.
  18. Another terrible Xmas week for the resorts, multiple rain storms between now and new years with little cold in between
  19. Nothing looks favorable this month, we’ll see about January but need massive changes between now and then
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