qg_omega
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Everything posted by qg_omega
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Agreed. But but El Niño is not coupled, it’s not strong, it’s not Super. strong El Niño winters are terrible, end forecast
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Moderate-High Impact Storm Noon Sun Dec 17, 2023 - 4PM Mon Dec 18. Flooding rain I95 corridor northwestward, coastal tidal flooding, brief periods of damaging 50 MPH+ wind gusts LI/CT Monday, ends as a little wet snow interior elevations Tue morning.
qg_omega replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
850 winds over 100knts on the NAM -
Agreed, rains to Montreal
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Euro is east, sell the wind threat
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Moderate-High Impact Storm Noon Sun Dec 17, 2023 - 4PM Mon Dec 18. Flooding rain I95 corridor northwestward, coastal tidal flooding, brief periods of damaging 50 MPH+ wind gusts LI/CT Monday, ends as a little wet snow interior elevations Tue morning.
qg_omega replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Euro is off the coast, not seeing a big wind threat with this outside Suffolk and NE -
Moderate-High Impact Storm Noon Sun Dec 17, 2023 - 4PM Mon Dec 18. Flooding rain I95 corridor northwestward, coastal tidal flooding, brief periods of damaging 50 MPH+ wind gusts LI/CT Monday, ends as a little wet snow interior elevations Tue morning.
qg_omega replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Need track to west of us and then yes -
PV will get pushed to the other side of the globe yet again
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Bag full of meh on the wind potential
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Moderate-High Impact Storm Noon Sun Dec 17, 2023 - 4PM Mon Dec 18. Flooding rain I95 corridor northwestward, coastal tidal flooding, brief periods of damaging 50 MPH+ wind gusts LI/CT Monday, ends as a little wet snow interior elevations Tue morning.
qg_omega replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
No high pressure to the north, general area of lower pressure. Winds look meh- 489 replies
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- flooding rains
- coastal flooding
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Moderate-High Impact Storm Noon Sun Dec 17, 2023 - 4PM Mon Dec 18. Flooding rain I95 corridor northwestward, coastal tidal flooding, brief periods of damaging 50 MPH+ wind gusts LI/CT Monday, ends as a little wet snow interior elevations Tue morning.
qg_omega replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Expected these days, really awful pattern next few weeks -
one to two days of normal and right back to well above
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Widespread 20 above normal but nothing to see here?
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Nothing for you next month bud
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Stalled in 7
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Nice call
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No changes
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Very nice, was up at Whiteface Lodge over thanksgiving weekend and had more snow in the lower elevations than at hotel elevation which is just about 2k. Looks like normalization has resumed.
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New normal, won’t be last 60 this month
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No wind and under half inch so far, big bust so far
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MJO stalling in 7 as predicted by many is a likely cause
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Yup, I’ll take the over on +3 despite the next week of weather. Torch will trend very impressive to end the month, warmest of the month despite temps over 60 today
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Biggest mistakes a forecaster can make is observing what is actually happening and thinking A + B doesn’t equal C https://x.com/jhomenuk/status/1733920472092356620?s=46&t=m4Eqkekadb-JCXTm7k-Txg
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Storm is a full bag of meh as expected
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I’m a huge winter enthusiast, if their were encouraging sings for winter I’ll post them. Unfortunately their are no signs of winter for most of the country, north east included for the next month
