qg_omega
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Everything posted by qg_omega
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Biggest mistakes a forecaster can make is observing what is actually happening and thinking A + B doesn’t equal C https://x.com/jhomenuk/status/1733920472092356620?s=46&t=m4Eqkekadb-JCXTm7k-Txg
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Storm is a full bag of meh as expected
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I’m a huge winter enthusiast, if their were encouraging sings for winter I’ll post them. Unfortunately their are no signs of winter for most of the country, north east included for the next month
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Increasing signs of a torch Xmas to New Years
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https://x.com/snewxcenter/status/1733487683895226478?s=46&t=m4Eqkekadb-JCXTm7k-Txg
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Winds look only for SNE, NAM is tame until it gets to the forks to SNE, whole system has shifted, slightly better chance of a flip to snow but will see
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Golden age of Accu pro and the JB videos, his and the count pointer count show
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So easy to torch these days vs going below normal, sad times
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No signs of any pattern change as we head into Jan
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What a terrible pattern for the rest of the month
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Really ugly look for us
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Huge change and kudos to you for understanding the impact of the very warm waters in 4 5 6 slowing down the convection
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40s are normal and cold for NYC in December, multiple 50s to 60s have become the new normal and we likely see that this weekend and very likely additional days this month
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Agreed, but cold and stormy hype pays the bills https://x.com/bigjoebastardi/status/1730904418617352518?s=46&t=m4Eqkekadb-JCXTm7k-Txg
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Winter severe season looks to get going this weekend
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MJO spending sufficient time outside of the warm phases, not seeing any evidence of that yet. Cold moving to our side of the globe (currently opposite) and an improved PAC. Basically the opposite of what we will have for December
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You scored on the early season “cold” pattern, unfortunately that looks to change now for the next 4 to 6 weeks
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Mid month torch, can call these years out at this point
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Spot on, incredible analysis as usual from you
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Yup most expected this December to be awful, most
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I read what you said wrong, this shows even an AO under 1 now just gets us back to what we had without it
