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qg_omega

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Everything posted by qg_omega

  1. with the block we are +2 to +4, without it we would be +6 to +8
  2. Cold air will be in the other side of the pole all month, we are blocking PAC air, go warm
  3. A day near 70 in December fits the persistence pattern we are in
  4. Got a couple of inches even at lake level, 400ish feet. Forecast was just rain, about 7 inches up at Gore and another storm where Gore cleaned up as Whiteface rained, second time this past week
  5. Well forecasted on the models, if you actually believed the output. NWS dismissed for most, was a great storm for the mountains
  6. 11 to 16 forecasts, even if all in agreement, are very low skill
  7. Gore off to a fast start vs WF, another big Gore storm with rain at WF
  8. Got married 10 years ago today, had a great snow squall that night that laid down some snow
  9. NYC likely misses another freeze this weekend, but will hit next week
  10. Freezing rain at SLK and puking Snow at ALB and GFL
  11. November’s have been ok past few winters, it’s the mid December warmth that’s killed
  12. A famous cold spot in our forecast area, Saranac Lake, has a forecast low of around 0 degrees Fahrenheit. It`s only a single night with this frigid cold though, as a storm system approaching will advect in milder air and increasing clouds for the following periods.
  13. Classic strong Nino as we head into December https://x.com/webberweather/status/1726680020041814171?s=46&t=m4Eqkekadb-JCXTm7k-Txg
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