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qg_omega

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Everything posted by qg_omega

  1. qg_omega
    Close them until February, remember when many were said COD after 3? Insanity
  2. qg_omega
    Violently disagree
  3. qg_omega
    Reports of 4 to 5 inches an hour in NY
  4. qg_omega
    That’s insane
  5. qg_omega
    Not many if any models had HPN at 30 degrees, looks good for 4 to 6 inches
  6. qg_omega
    I have no hope in any +PNA in Feb, I have no care on what past El Nino's have produced given our background state has changed with the expanse of warmth in the pacific and AGW. We no longer have the temperature gradients of past events, this makes many analogs very suspect. Lets be real, we have punted all of December and all of Jan (inland and mountains look to receive a few inches before going back to zero in the cutter). This was very much a thread the needle event as the "cold" is very fleeting and we have a strung out S/W pretty well timed. However, the NYC steak of 700+ with under an inch of snow will continue and those near the coast will receive zero. I will likely hit my post limit after this so I will not be able to respond, if someone can remove my limit given I have been on these boards since inception and do not engage in personal attacks, that would be appreciative.
  7. qg_omega
    Agreed, I’ve been touting the upcoming warmth and unfortunately this is going to happen in MJO 3, just wait until we hit 4. Very ugly pattern rest of the month where we aren’t even seasonably cold after massive cutters
  8. qg_omega
    Temps are in the 40s for Long Island
  9. qg_omega
    I wish but much too cold for WP, maybe an inch or two before the rain. Nothing for city or island
  10. qg_omega
    It was easier to handle when the whole country was warm. Now we bask while the west has historic cold and snow as the SE ridge and NAO connect, 2024 meet 2023.
  11. qg_omega
    Also massive west coast trough and signs SE ridge links to NAO domain but I guess we ignore the negatives
  12. qg_omega
    This looks fine for a first call
  13. qg_omega
    This looks pretty reasonable
  14. qg_omega
    MJO into 4, dumps the PV west of the divide. Real chance SE ridge extends into block and it’s last year in a strong Nino. I mentioned this risk in the fall.
  15. qg_omega
    Ugly pattern on the EPS as you once again connect the SE ridge and the block when a massive trough out west. Luckily @brooklynwx99 says trough out west is transient.
  16. qg_omega
    No I haven’t, can’t post 1k times with my limit but you can check my posts, Thku. Lots of anger in here today from these responses
  17. qg_omega
    She gone, Pope FTW. He was the only one showing 1/4 going the way of 1/7
  18. qg_omega
    Still see this as the main risk
  19. qg_omega
  20. qg_omega
    CFS MJO looks like EPS which given the background is GFS makes me think the GEFS is wrong
  21. qg_omega
    Looks like any snow will be gone in only a few days with the follow up cutter
  22. qg_omega
    Risk is suppression here not rain
  23. qg_omega
    Increased water vapor from the volcano combined with cleaner air due to reduced aerosol and sulfur pollution has rapidly accelerated the warming, this is fact and not debatable
  24. qg_omega
    No more ice castle in lake George, just too warm now in winter.
  25. qg_omega
    Not surprising given how bad the EPS has become, toss far and wide. Pattern > Modelology. Pattern says this is a swing and a miss. Need major changes to say otherwise.
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