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qg_omega

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Everything posted by qg_omega

  1. Kinda shocked how strong the storm is modeled, if that’s true many will flip to snow but no storm this year has been that strong
  2. not seeing that at all, we go to a week of "winter" after this storm with temps normal to above normal before the PAC blasts the country with warm to end winter. Its a repeat of Jan's one week of winter. Who ever threads the needle with this storm on Tuesday will score while the rest will stay at almost no snow. I suspect for NYC they add maybe an inch to their 2.2 inches of snow so far this year.
  3. fits the Jan pattern, thread the needle with main low in western PA moving east. I buy this and sell everything else
  4. Just no cold air this year, absurd warmth to Montreal week after week
  5. Looks like rain to white rain for the coast, maybe an inch or two at the end on the grass. Would be great storm if we had a normal February airmass
  6. Epic pattern past the 20th is gone but it never was. Need to stop looking at 300 hour plus ensembles. Weeklies need to not be run. I never bought into the PNA, it just never made any sense given the pattern we have been in with the strong PAC extensions, Nino, Maritime forcing etc. SSW and PV splits also have driven the cold each time on the other side of the pole, they need to be examined in the context of the pattern and forcing
  7. It’s a another week of Winter before its over and I’m not convinced at all that everyone will score. Same areas that did well in Jan look to repeat
  8. This is mostly rain or white rain for the coast, temps are awful with a spring elevation storm vibe yet again
  9. its not like we haven't seen the SE ridge like up into the NAO region with a trough out west, o wait.
  10. Airmass is awful before the storm, this is clearly rain for the coast. Lots of snow goggles and fake snow maps. I still see a one week window of potential winter after the rain, then it’s over
  11. looks like El Nino in Jan....
  12. we saw this before with the OPs looking meh and ens looking great at H5......
  13. It’s a Rat, can’t be saved at this point with winter over in a few weeks
  14. Can’t amplify up the coast in that pattern. Maybe mid Atlantic this works but even then the cold isn’t impressive
  15. Blocking sure, cold? Doubtful with the PAC, I can see cold locking on the other side of the pole if you consider that a win
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