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qg_omega

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Everything posted by qg_omega

  1. So easy to torch these days vs going below normal, sad times
  2. No signs of any pattern change as we head into Jan
  3. What a terrible pattern for the rest of the month
  4. Huge change and kudos to you for understanding the impact of the very warm waters in 4 5 6 slowing down the convection
  5. 40s are normal and cold for NYC in December, multiple 50s to 60s have become the new normal and we likely see that this weekend and very likely additional days this month
  6. Agreed, but cold and stormy hype pays the bills https://x.com/bigjoebastardi/status/1730904418617352518?s=46&t=m4Eqkekadb-JCXTm7k-Txg
  7. Winter severe season looks to get going this weekend
  8. MJO spending sufficient time outside of the warm phases, not seeing any evidence of that yet. Cold moving to our side of the globe (currently opposite) and an improved PAC. Basically the opposite of what we will have for December
  9. You scored on the early season “cold” pattern, unfortunately that looks to change now for the next 4 to 6 weeks
  10. Mid month torch, can call these years out at this point
  11. Spot on, incredible analysis as usual from you
  12. Yup most expected this December to be awful, most
  13. I read what you said wrong, this shows even an AO under 1 now just gets us back to what we had without it
  14. Unfortunately, this is not correct
  15. Decent looking as expected, above normal. Only question is +4 vs +8
  16. with the block we are +2 to +4, without it we would be +6 to +8
  17. Cold air will be in the other side of the pole all month, we are blocking PAC air, go warm
  18. A day near 70 in December fits the persistence pattern we are in
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