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qg_omega

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Everything posted by qg_omega

  1. Just go back two weeks, all over Twitter and this board. We live in an age of delusion and lack of verifying past forecasts as if they never happened. The cold has been normal and it’s been very dry. https://x.com/jhomenuk/status/1873426101864894468?s=46&t=m4Eqkekadb-JCXTm7k-Txg https://x.com/bigjoebastardi/status/1873034974536073564?s=46&t=m4Eqkekadb-JCXTm7k-Txg
  2. Except they aren’t, we have two warm days, then a few cold days then a cutter and then more of the same with cold and dry before we flip to a torch pattern in February
  3. It’s not like it’s been too cold for snow, far from it. Midwest is colder and snowier it’s just big -NAO are not good for snow for the Northeast, they are good for the Midwest south and mid Atlantic. Negative NAO are only good in a specific combination with the correct orientation
  4. It’s near normal, nothing close to actual cold weather so far
  5. still waiting for the cold pattern, we are only running slightly below normal….
  6. Looks like another 15 days of nothing, time to start the February thread
  7. No real people here bought the gfs besides the usual same people who are always wrong
  8. It’s not nearly cold enough for pond skating, it’s barley below average with massive winds
  9. Euro is king and it’s not even close, we should decommission the GFS and its ensembles. Would be no hype on this storm if it didn’t exist.
  10. Euro is not just another model, it’s much better than the GFS as many of us who know have been saying. We need to stop looking at the GFS permanently. Ensembles included
  11. Great post Walt, nuisance snow at best is the correct early call
  12. Let’s not get crazy, Euro is still very much a hard NO. This remains extremely unlikely
  13. We want a full phase and take our chances with ptype. Take a bomb all day over a scraper but scraper is very likely or complete miss given the pattern
  14. Need a full phase or it’s well out to sea, full phase in this pattern with the active northern stream is unlikely
  15. Hugger is extremely unlikely, scrapper is the concern
  16. Have a hard time seeing this not far offshore at the moment, positive titled trough with a late or missed phase as of now
  17. ??? We had record warmth a few days ago
  18. January ended when Prismshine started this thread. No brainier
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