qg_omega
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Everything posted by qg_omega
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Ok https://x.com/paulroundy1/status/1737798350517252271?s=46&t=m4Eqkekadb-JCXTm7k-Txg
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Negative PNA is favored for January
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Insane warmth this month, November was a more wintry month yet again
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Last years December was miles better than this month, had record cold vs record warmth across the country
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Incredible warm start to winter for the country and the continent, historic warmth fueled by the super Nino. Classic well coupled strong Nino
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That’s the point, ensembles have showed the better pattern 10 to 15 days away and are wrong. Canada is a blow torch and I don’t see any changes until Canada cools down significantly. The conus warmth this month and into YEAR END is historic. We aren’t just going to “flip” colder without massive changes. I see nothing for the next three weeks, maybe I’ll be wrong, lets hope. The reasons I outlined two weeks ago have not changed.
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Toward the end of the month is mid January? Nothing looks good for the next three weeks
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Here just yesterday and many many more as we go back in time
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Facepalm, did we not learn a thing from last winter? We literally been over this topic numerous times, I can pull the thread from last year when ensembles always looked good 10 days away and OPs looked awful.
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Saw that last year, OPs won the day.
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Another terrible Xmas week for the resorts, multiple rain storms between now and new years with little cold in between
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Close the shades indefinitely
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Nothing looks favorable this month, we’ll see about January but need massive changes between now and then
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Moderate-High Impact Storm Noon Sun Dec 17, 2023 - 4PM Mon Dec 18. Flooding rain I95 corridor northwestward, coastal tidal flooding, brief periods of damaging 50 MPH+ wind gusts LI/CT Monday, ends as a little wet snow interior elevations Tue morning.
qg_omega replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Keep us updated- 489 replies
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- 6
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- flooding rains
- coastal flooding
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(and 4 more)
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Moderate-High Impact Storm Noon Sun Dec 17, 2023 - 4PM Mon Dec 18. Flooding rain I95 corridor northwestward, coastal tidal flooding, brief periods of damaging 50 MPH+ wind gusts LI/CT Monday, ends as a little wet snow interior elevations Tue morning.
qg_omega replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Need these maps to show 100mph to get strong winds in reality- 489 replies
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- 2
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- flooding rains
- coastal flooding
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Agreed. But but El Niño is not coupled, it’s not strong, it’s not Super. strong El Niño winters are terrible, end forecast
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Moderate-High Impact Storm Noon Sun Dec 17, 2023 - 4PM Mon Dec 18. Flooding rain I95 corridor northwestward, coastal tidal flooding, brief periods of damaging 50 MPH+ wind gusts LI/CT Monday, ends as a little wet snow interior elevations Tue morning.
qg_omega replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
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- flooding rains
- coastal flooding
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(and 4 more)
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Euro is east, sell the wind threat
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Moderate-High Impact Storm Noon Sun Dec 17, 2023 - 4PM Mon Dec 18. Flooding rain I95 corridor northwestward, coastal tidal flooding, brief periods of damaging 50 MPH+ wind gusts LI/CT Monday, ends as a little wet snow interior elevations Tue morning.
qg_omega replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Euro is off the coast, not seeing a big wind threat with this outside Suffolk and NE- 489 replies
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- flooding rains
- coastal flooding
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(and 4 more)
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Moderate-High Impact Storm Noon Sun Dec 17, 2023 - 4PM Mon Dec 18. Flooding rain I95 corridor northwestward, coastal tidal flooding, brief periods of damaging 50 MPH+ wind gusts LI/CT Monday, ends as a little wet snow interior elevations Tue morning.
qg_omega replied to wdrag's topic in New York City Metro
Need track to west of us and then yes- 489 replies
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- flooding rains
- coastal flooding
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(and 4 more)
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PV will get pushed to the other side of the globe yet again
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Bag full of meh on the wind potential