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qg_omega

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Everything posted by qg_omega

  1. No signs of any pattern change for the next two weeks, 12z GFS is rinse and repeat
  2. I had NYC +4 to +6, few if any had that. Looks to finish +5 and second warmest December ever.
  3. Wednesday rain was well modeled on OPs at 340 hours out, ensembles not so much
  4. Few years ago had that massive pack for over a month. Remember had snow stuck in my wheel causing it to unbalance and it stayed like that for weeks. Unimaginable these days
  5. Makes sense and fits the pattern and strong El Niño, have been warning on the south based block, see last winter
  6. https://x.com/ayeejuju/status/1738972353848336605?s=46&t=m4Eqkekadb-JCXTm7k-Txg
  7. November was a much better winter month than December which has been horrid.
  8. Blocking further south now, not the same. Further south blocking has become a winter staple
  9. If IYBY is all of the Northeast and Atlantic Canada, agreed
  10. This is insane for the time of year and storm track, madness again. One of the worst Decembers ever. Also this storm track and outcome hasn’t changed on the OPs from 300+ hours out
  11. Posted in NYC thread I dont see anything to get excited about in the long range, transient cold to start the year but pattern favors clippers or cutters unfortunately
  12. Historically bad December in terms of winter for most of the country and Canada, rivals the most epic fail starts off all time
  13. I dont see anything to get excited about in the long range, transient cold to start the year but pattern favors clippers or cutters unfortunately
  14. Ok https://x.com/paulroundy1/status/1737798350517252271?s=46&t=m4Eqkekadb-JCXTm7k-Txg
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