Very nice, was up at Whiteface Lodge over thanksgiving weekend and had more snow in the lower elevations than at hotel elevation which is just about 2k. Looks like normalization has resumed.
Yup, I’ll take the over on +3 despite the next week of weather. Torch will trend very impressive to end the month, warmest of the month despite temps over 60 today
Biggest mistakes a forecaster can make is observing what is actually happening and thinking A + B doesn’t equal C
https://x.com/jhomenuk/status/1733920472092356620?s=46&t=m4Eqkekadb-JCXTm7k-Txg
I’m a huge winter enthusiast, if their were encouraging sings for winter I’ll post them. Unfortunately their are no signs of winter for most of the country, north east included for the next month
Winds look only for SNE, NAM is tame until it gets to the forks to SNE, whole system has shifted, slightly better chance of a flip to snow but will see
40s are normal and cold for NYC in December, multiple 50s to 60s have become the new normal and we likely see that this weekend and very likely additional days this month
MJO spending sufficient time outside of the warm phases, not seeing any evidence of that yet. Cold moving to our side of the globe (currently opposite) and an improved PAC. Basically the opposite of what we will have for December