Blizzard of 93

Exactly! I cherry picked the advertised pattern for a few dates from the latest Euro Weeklies. The first date is from December 27th…. Highly serviceable…..

The 18z GFS also improved for tonight. More “blue” got the LSV, even with Kuchera.

Anyhow, back to today…. It’s probably going to snow tonight! Most of us had no idea on this threat until the middle of this week.

I couldn’t help myself & I just posted the GEFS & GEPS to hopefully calm a few nerves over there.

I agree with you & it’s not lousy, it’s serviceable on the GEFS & GEPS. There is no -PNA digging down to Baja or Southern California like last year!

Lol, choose to read it however you want. Also, week 4 starts January 1st !

2 of the 3 major ensembles are serviceable. If the EPS went out another day or 2, it would be serviceable as well. The ridging is shifting into western Canada from day 11 to where it ends at day 15.

But, but…. A poster or 2 is worried in the Mid Atlantic …. It’s over…lol!

Lol, Try to read it again…. I just did!

The pattern at day 16 looks serviceable on the GEPS & GEFS.

I’m only at .35 of rain today so far. Current temperature is 51 Hopefully the heavier precip holds off until overnight with the secondary low in the form of snow.

The pattern at day 16 looks serviceable on the GEPS & GEFS.

Lol, No one reasonable is punting into mid January!

Here are the 3k & 12k NAM at 18z Kuchera

Yes, best NAM run since yesterday! Good low position for Susquehanna Valley snow.

12z Euro agrees with CTP on a coating to 2 inches of snow for most of us.

A little late for ensembles, but the 12z GFS is a good representation for the possibilities depending on the the best bands set up overnight.

3k NAM agrees with CTP for the LSV

CTP has weighed in… Up to 2 inches of snow seems reasonable at this point.

Hazardous Weather Outlook Hazardous Weather Outlook National Weather Service State College PA 1113 AM EST Sun Dec 10 2023 PAZ019-025>028-034>036-045-046-049>052-056-057-059-063>066-111615- Southern Centre-Blair-Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-Bedford-Fulton- Franklin-Southern Clinton-Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour- Northumberland-Perry-Dauphin-Lebanon-Cumberland-Adams-York-Lancaster- 1113 AM EST Sun Dec 10 2023 This Hazardous Weather Outlook is for central Pennsylvania. .DAY ONE...This afternoon and tonight. Rain will change to wet snow tonight with a coating to 1 inch of accumulation possible into the Monday morning commute. The snow could result in locally hazardous travel conditions especially on bridges and overpasses. The ridge tops could see up to 2 inches by late Monday morning.

Plenty of guidance has consistently showed at least 1 to 3 inches of snow-both snow depth & Kuchera maps- for the LSV over the last couple of days. The small differences in amounts are just noise at this point.

Kuchera 6z NAMs

6z NAMs are still looking good for the rain changing to snow overnight. LSV is in a great spot.

997 off of NJ Kuchera ratio I think the LSV is in a good spot for this event. Guidance is converging on a consensus.

0z GFS is on board