Blizzard of 93
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Everything posted by Blizzard of 93
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There is still good general agreement between the 3 major global 0z ensemble runs for the end of the month pattern evolution.
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The end of the Op 6z GFS was getting ready to say Happy New Year with the improved pattern settling in.
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The ensembles all look great for late December. I fully expect to be shoveling snow in the coming weeks.
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I’m not dismissing CPC, but I don’t care if we are 1 degree above normal as long as I am shoveling a few decent snowstorms in my town.
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Go & read the good posters in the New England & Mid Atlantic thread. They are very much on board. Many pro Forecasters are on board as well. The good stuff is coming….
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This needs bumped as well. If this doesn’t get the Debs enthused, then nothing will…
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This apparently needs posted again. The Pittsburgh crew must not have seen it…
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The Harrisburg area averages around 6 inches of snow through the end of December. Those maps that @mitchnick posted show around 3 inches of snow near Harrisburg by 12/25. Many of us near Harrisburg & the lower Susquehanna Valley have had around 1 inch of snow already this month. My point is we still have a good chance to get on track with average snow by the end of the month.
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The improved look on the EPS actually begins to get underway by 12/27.
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Cold enough air for snow in late December is getting into place on the EPS & GEPS by the end of the month as well.
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The 12z Ensembles continue to have a good look with a workable pattern developing over the last few days of the month. It’s nice to see a general agreement between the EPS, GEFS & GEPS.
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The improved look on the EPS actually begins to get underway by 12/27.
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Cold enough air for snow in late December is getting into place on the EPS & GEPS by the end of the month as well.
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The 12z Ensembles continue to have a good look with a workable pattern developing over the last few days of the month. It’s nice to see a general agreement between the EPS, GEFS & GEPS.
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January…sure….! But the last week of December is also full of potential. Also, we could get a little snow early next week with the trailing system. We also have the possibility that the Euro showed before Christmas that @mitchnick just posted. I am looking forward to the possibility of a great January, but December still has plenty to keep an eye on!
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0z EPS has a similar looks as well!
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@Ralph Wiggum posted this in the Philly thread this morning. It is nice to see the good looks on the ensembles for late December starting to show a potential discrete Winter storm chance. “Larger window opening up on the ens the last week of Dec as the PAC side amplifies with a transient +PNA and -EPO ridge and a vigorous shortwave slides across the SE.” Op gfs hinting at something also.
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It’s good to see this on the long range GFS towards the end of the month. It fits with some of the good looks that the ensembles have been showing recently for the late month period.
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Agreed & the better looks are not getting pushed back and start around day 13 or 14 on the ensembles.
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The good looks continue to hold at the end of each of the 3 global ensembles.
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The good looks continue to hold at the end of each of the 3 global ensembles.
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The 12z 3 main ensembles continue to look good for the last week of December. Better days should be on the way. Hopefully this holds & continues to not get pushed back in time.
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Very nice looking indeed!
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Better looks continue at the end of all 3 ensembles for late December.
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Hopefully the MJO progression into the null phase & then emerging into weak phase 7 & 8 will help the pattern to improve by the end of the month.
