Blizzard of 93

Dude, didn’t I ask you to give it a break on Christmas Eve on here…. Besides, everything is just fine with everything I’m seeing & most respected pros are seeing.

The 5 day 10-15 mean & the end of the 12z EPS continue the good look moving forward.

Here is a snapshot of just how undecided things are even at day 9 on the 12z Op runs… Long way to go even for even the first few days of the year to be decided.

Exactly, & the Canadian says “what storm?”. Long way to go…

Here is a snapshot of just how undecided things are even at day 9 on the 12z Op runs… Long way to go even for even the first few days of the year to be decided.

Exactly! Also, the GEPS looks a little different than the GEFS at the end of its run.

That would be @Itstrainingtime I look forward to when he does that again.

The end of the 12z GEPS improved over the 0z run with more of the broad coast to coast trough with a good look near Greenland.

The end of the ensemble runs all look cold enough at the end of their 15/16 day runs as well.

My point is that it’s workable Or serviceable. To put it simply, there are no oranges or reds stretching from Louisiana to Maine! We should have chances.

Things look good to me in the day 10-15 5 day means on all 3 globals in early January.

I see someone else lurking, again, please let’s not do this today or tomorrow…

Dude, it’s Christmas Eve… please…..

I see a pattern of chances once to early January. It’s not a KU look at this time, but more of an Advisory to lower end Warning type of look. This is again not a KU look, but far far far from a shut out look as well. I’m thinking we see good old type of 2-4, 3-6 inch snow events as the GFS Op has been showing off & on for that first week or so of January.

Here is something that I mention every year that I use just as a simple indicator tool to let me know the potential for snow in a given window of time. All 3 ensemble snow maps finally are getting the “blue” to DC or northern VA. The GEFS & GEPS the last 2 days have really extended the blue well south. The EPS finally joined them at 0z. Again, this to me is just an indicator especially when we are entering what should be a favorable period. There are no guarantees, but it’s good to see the ensemble snow maps responding to the favorable look of the upcoming pattern. Bottom line, we should have our chances, as some of the Ops have been showing off & on the last few days for the first week of January. Here are the latest 15/16 day snow maps for the EPS, GEFS & GEPS.

I know what you mean, disclaimers should not be needed, especially for those of us that have been doing this for a long time. Ops, ensembles, teleconnections, analogs, etc. all have their value & they contribute to trying to figure out the upcoming story of how our weather will unfold.

Thanks & that last paragraph is great! I just had to put my annual disclaimer out a few days ago on here! Happy Christmas Eve!

0z GFS has a January 4th Winter Storm chance.

The 18z GEFS still looks good as well for the first week of January.

Lol, it’s also Saturday night & the day before Christmas Eve…some people might be kind of busy.

Thanks & the Euro Op is trying for that 28/29th period as well for a possible light event.

The GFS even has the chance of snow in Western & Northern CTP on the 28th.

I just got back from some pre Christmas errands and got to look at the GFS. My goodness it is full of potential for the first week of January.

It’s a shame that this week a couple of good posters that have over 30,000 combined posts on here over the years have been attacked. The internet is really going downhill faster than ever…. I just don’t get it anymore…

Exactly, highs in the teens here with freezes to the Gulf Coast often means suppressed storms. Give me “cold enough” all day.