Blizzard of 93
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Everything posted by Blizzard of 93
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Of course…but just showing what the model shows at this time. It should just be used to get a general idea. Hopefully it’s on the right track…
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The Euro Weeklies today look even better in terms of temperatures & precip for the 7 day period ending January 31. Bottom line if the ensembles & Weeklies have the right general idea, we should have chances for Winter storms for mid month through the end of the month.
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Today’s Euro Weeklies agree with liking this same period for a better looking amount of precip with below normal temperatures for the 7 day window ending the 25th.
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As you mentioned, ensemble guidance again today showed a workable pattern for week 2 that should offer chances for Winter storms. Good agreement on the ensembles as well.
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Blizzard of 93 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
As you mentioned, ensemble guidance again today showed a workable pattern for week 2 that should offer chances for Winter storms. Good agreement on the ensembles as well. -
18z AI ensembles also agree with the good look in week 2.
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Blizzard of 93 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Enjoy the 4 day warm up… -
Exactly, the window opens early NEXT week…
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Blizzard of 93 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
12z EPS day 10 to 15 still looks workable and day 15 ends on a good note as well. It’s just a matter of time until something trackable shows on the Op run again. -
12z EPS day 10 to 15 still looks workable and day 15 ends on a good note as well. It’s just a matter of time until something trackable shows on the Op run again.
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Blizzard of 93 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
The Ops are changing run to run. Ensembles -see my post above & yesterday & the day before…- as they have shown for several days, are showing a workable pattern starting early next week. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Blizzard of 93 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
The better workable pattern is moving up closer in time. Here are the day 8 to 13 looks for the 5 day period on the 0z EPS, 6z AI EPS & 6z GEFS. -
What exactly am I supposed to be upset about this morning…? The better workable pattern is moving up closer in time. Here are the day 8 to 13 looks for the 5 day period on the 0z EPS, 6z AI EPS & 6z GEFS.
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Blizzard of 93 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
12z Euro has a good looking Winter storm chance on the 14th for us this run with a juicy system approaching from the south that passes underneath of us. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Blizzard of 93 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
CTP had this great post. I certainly wouldn’t mind a 13-14 repeat here, except this time add on the 3 March events that just missed us to our south in MD. -
Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Blizzard of 93 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Key word is a bit… This warm up is brief. Winter returns by the 12th -
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Blizzard of 93 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
The 18z GFS is showing snow this run on the 11th. -
Lol, there is so much griping on here that the cliff jumpers & Debs missed the 18z GFS showing snow this run on the 11th.
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Blizzard of 93 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
The 12z AI Euro & AI GEFS also show a very workable look in the day 10 to 15 period. -
12z Synopsis EPS, EPS AI, CMC ensemble, & GEFS AI ensemble all have a very workable & generally similar look in the day 10 to 15 period. Only the GEFS looked different…but @CAPE said that it looked workable as well.
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The 12z AI Euro & AI GEFS also show a very workable look in the day 10 to 15 period.
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Central PA Winter 25/26 Discussion and Obs
Blizzard of 93 replied to MAG5035's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
The 12z EPS & 12z Canadian ensemble in the day 10 to 15 period look very workable to me. I have no interest in freezing the orange groves while we have below zero temps. Last year a frigid 2 weeks in late January gave us “congrats Carolinas” & “congrats Gulf coast” when they snowed while we froze. I think many of us would welcome a pattern of just cold enough with chances to score snow. Bring on some moisture laden storms & let the chips fall during prime snow climo season. -
The 12z EPS & 12z Canadian ensemble in the day 10 to 15 period look very workable to me. I have no interest in freezing the orange groves while we have below zero temps. Last year a frigid 2 weeks in late January gave us “congrats Carolinas” & “congrats Gulf coast” when they snowed while we froze. I think many of us would welcome a pattern of just cold enough with chances to score snow. Bring on some moisture laden storms & let the chips fall during prime snow climo season.
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12z Canadian ends on day 10 with widespread cold.
