Long range outlook looks good from around the 20th onward according to the ensembles.
Also, many of us saw a little snow earlier today…so it’s not quite a shut out.
It’s not good now, but again, plenty of time to turn it around.
I appreciate your knowledge & perspective on weather in our region over the decades.
I realize it’s not good now, but a rough start does not mean that we will end up having a terrible season when the snow counting in done in March or April.
For those that can only remember a year or 2 back….
Let’s recall the recent Winter of 20-21.
We had the mid December major snowstorm that brought about 11 inches to MDT. That 1 storm put us well above average through at least mid January.
Then there was No more snow in December or January until the very last day of the month!
The second major storm hit on January 31st into February 1st and brought around 12 inches to MDT.
The February snow total was just shy of 20 inches.
We ended up with an above average total near 36 inches of snow at MDT thanks mainly to 2 major storms.
My point is this… we are only a few chapters in to this Winter season. The book has a long way to go.
Lol…we have 3 months yet to score snow.
Again….MDT only averages 7.4 inches of snow through today…
The majority of our seasonal snow comes in the second half of January, February & March!
Here is a little more perspective…
In the fabled Winter of 09-10, we only had 3 Winter storms in central PA.
December 09 and the 2 early February storms. They happened to be major storms and that Winter will be forever remembered as epic. We had No snow in January or March!
Maybe this year we get 2 great storms in February again and another good storm in early March?
Look back over the decades….
Many of our Winters that end up close to average are made up of a few good weeks of cold & storms.
Maybe late January 20th to February 10th will be a good period with a few Warning level events?
Then maybe we have 1 more good run from February 20th to March 10th that will bring us to near average for the season.
Bottom line…lots of time yet to score snow.
MDT is now at 2.9 inches of snow for the season through today.
Normally MDT is at 7.4 inches of snow through today, so we have a deficit of 4.5 inches of snow at this moment.
It would only take 1 Advisory level event to get us caught up right now….there is a long way to go yet in this snow season.
Same here with a low of 29.
The car tops & grass/trees have a nice coating of snow this morning. The roads didn’t cave, but it was a little slick when I just brushed off our vehicles.
There is a small yet decent little area of precip in western PA moving to the east.
Hopefully many of us wake up to at least a dusting or coating of snow tomorrow.
The 18z Canadian RGEM has the “lol jackpot” near @Bubbler86 and @Cashtown_Coop
but I’m rooting for the High res Canadian HRDPS …. Jackpots for me & MDT !