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Blizzard of 93

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Everything posted by Blizzard of 93

  1. Blizzard of 93
    Next run it will probably cut the storm to Minnesota! Then the next run it will shred it off of the Carolinas. Clueless JV model!
  2. Blizzard of 93
    I strongly agree…. Yesterday the GFS Op had the low going to Toronto one run, to the DelMarVa the next run back to Indiana the next run! It was the last model to get any idea that a storm might form near the coast. The wild swings are really just funny at this point. The latest upgrade made it much worse. I read recently that it ranks 5th in terms of Operational models. I really can’t trust it outside of 48 hours at this time in my opinion.
  3. Blizzard of 93
    Here is the 12z EPS mean low track & snow map. The snow line keeps moving south east over the last few runs & even gets Lancaster into the blue this run.
  4. Blizzard of 93
    12z EPS continued to improve for Sunday. Here are the low locations
  5. Blizzard of 93
    What a fantastic lunch break! Here are some more views of the “church” Sunday storm… What a great Euro run! The Euro Op & EPS have been fairly steady with this track over the last few days. A difference of 50 miles east or west will determine the winners & losers, but hopefully the general track is close to being resolved now that we are less than 5 days away.
  6. Blizzard of 93
    The 0z EPS ( DT’s favorite model…) still, as it has shown for several runs in a row, looks good for the Sunday pm Winter storm potential for most of CTP.
  7. Blizzard of 93
    The 0z Euro & Canadian both still have potential for CTP for Sunday night.
  8. Blizzard of 93
    Lol, let’s hope we need them soon! We still have a few days to go until this is locked in, but the Euro has been mostly steady with this potential for the last few days.
  9. Blizzard of 93
    Here is the 18z EPS snow mean & the Control run is out of control for Harrisburg & the I-81 corridor for Sunday into Monday.
  10. Blizzard of 93
    Here are the 18z EPS low track & low clusters for Sunday into Monday.
  11. Blizzard of 93
    The 18z EPS & 18z Euro Control look great for CTP for the “Church” storm for this Sunday into Monday.
  12. Blizzard of 93
    Good….he must be using reverse psychology! Most of his followers are from VA, so it really does not matter. He is far often more wrong than right!
  13. Blizzard of 93
    @psuhoffman in the Mid Atlantic forum today said the upcoming pattern reminds him of 1994. 1994 was very memorable for CTP, with most of us being on the right side of the gradient. MDT had a top 10 snow season with over 70 inches in 1994. I would be thrilled with just getting back on the board with a few Warning level snow events to make this year a respectable season.
  14. Blizzard of 93
    All 3 major ensembles look great starting this weekend through the end of the month with with general pattern. The 15 day snow maps on the ensembles have really ramped up as well and have the look that is screaming “it’s gonna snow!”
  15. Blizzard of 93
    ….and the 12z Euro & 12z Canadian say to gas up the snow blowers and get the shovels ready for most of the church parking lots in CTP on Sunday into Monday. The GFS is all alone and needs an exorcism…
  16. Blizzard of 93
    There is still no agreement in the major weather models for the Sunday/Monday storm chance. The 6z GFS still cuts the storm to Toronto bringing rain. The 0z Euro now shreds the system and slides it under us with a little light snow by Monday evening. The 0z Canadian has a compromise with snow to mix by Monday evening. I’m not focusing on much else beyond this period until this storm is resolved.
  17. Blizzard of 93
    CTP seems interested in the Sunday chance. Sunday A chance of rain and snow. Partly sunny, with a high near 41. Chance of precipitation is 40%. Sunday Night A chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 33. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
  18. Blizzard of 93
    The GFS Op has been pretty useless, especially since they supposedly upgraded it a couple of months ago. Yesterday it was way west, then this morning at 6z the GFS had the Sunday/Monday low off of the DelMarVa just like the Euro has showed for the last several runs, but 12z & 18z wildly shifted way west again….0.0 consistency in the medium range!
  19. Blizzard of 93
    The 12z EPS also ends well with the good look holding & colder temperatures remaining in day 15 at the end of the run.
  20. Blizzard of 93
    Great run of the 12z EPS for the advertised pattern for the last week of January. The southeast ridge is pushed well off to the south & east. Temperatures look to be bit below normal for us. This has the look of systems running from the south central states to off the coast of Virginia. Hopefully we can line up some moderate snow or snow to mix events for the last week of January.
  21. Blizzard of 93
    Exactly! We got out & enjoyed the day at our local park.
  22. Blizzard of 93
    Makes sense…, I understand…good luck!
  23. Blizzard of 93
    Lol, not according to the 12z Euro… It has been steady for the last 2 days delivering snow to most of us by next Monday.
  24. Blizzard of 93
    I just reached 40 in Marysville with full sun.
  25. Blizzard of 93
    Only got down to 24 in Marysville.
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