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Blizzard of 93

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Everything posted by Blizzard of 93

  1. Blizzard of 93
    The 0z Euro still produces the potential of an Advisory level event for Sunday.
  2. Blizzard of 93
    The 0z Canadian improved for Sunday and has a similar low track to the Euro. It brings a widespread Advisory event to all of CTP this run for Sunday.
  3. Blizzard of 93
    The 0z GFS can’t figure out the low track and bounces it west, north, south & then east to the coast (did I miss any directions?)!
  4. Blizzard of 93
    It has been consistent for several runs now with the low placement.
  5. Blizzard of 93
  6. Blizzard of 93
    Great start to 0z !
  7. Blizzard of 93
    I agree, of course with all of the disclaimers of the extrapolated NAM…but it looks good. Here is the end of the 0z NAM & the 12z Euro (great hit for us) from today for the same time stamp as of Sunday am. NAM even has the 540 line near DC, even further south than the Euro.
  8. Blizzard of 93
    The EPS has also been consistent for the last few days with the track while the GEFS has been bouncing around.
  9. Blizzard of 93
    Like you have said the past few days, at least now we are in a pattern of chances. We might win some & lose some, but at least we are now back in the game!
  10. Blizzard of 93
    Lol, see you in a few days then…
  11. Blizzard of 93
    When I see the snow totals through day 15/16 on the major ensembles get to these amounts with a few threat windows possible, it screams to me that it’s going to snow! It wasn’t too long ago that we were struggling to get the light blues to the LSV. Now, we are seeing the purples & pinks over many LSV yards!
  12. Blizzard of 93
    It’s going to be a very long couple of weeks on here….
  13. Blizzard of 93
    The 18z ICON was actually pretty good.
  14. Blizzard of 93
    The bottom line is that we should be very busy in here during the next 2 weeks! It is going to be difficult to miss each of these opportunities, and maybe some of us will be lucky to get hit multiple times!
  15. Blizzard of 93
    Next run it will probably cut the storm to Minnesota! Then the next run it will shred it off of the Carolinas. Clueless JV model!
  16. Blizzard of 93
    I strongly agree…. Yesterday the GFS Op had the low going to Toronto one run, to the DelMarVa the next run back to Indiana the next run! It was the last model to get any idea that a storm might form near the coast. The wild swings are really just funny at this point. The latest upgrade made it much worse. I read recently that it ranks 5th in terms of Operational models. I really can’t trust it outside of 48 hours at this time in my opinion.
  17. Blizzard of 93
    Here is the 12z EPS mean low track & snow map. The snow line keeps moving south east over the last few runs & even gets Lancaster into the blue this run.
  18. Blizzard of 93
    12z EPS continued to improve for Sunday. Here are the low locations
  19. Blizzard of 93
    What a fantastic lunch break! Here are some more views of the “church” Sunday storm… What a great Euro run! The Euro Op & EPS have been fairly steady with this track over the last few days. A difference of 50 miles east or west will determine the winners & losers, but hopefully the general track is close to being resolved now that we are less than 5 days away.
  20. Blizzard of 93
    The 0z EPS ( DT’s favorite model…) still, as it has shown for several runs in a row, looks good for the Sunday pm Winter storm potential for most of CTP.
  21. Blizzard of 93
    The 0z Euro & Canadian both still have potential for CTP for Sunday night.
  22. Blizzard of 93
    Lol, let’s hope we need them soon! We still have a few days to go until this is locked in, but the Euro has been mostly steady with this potential for the last few days.
  23. Blizzard of 93
    Here is the 18z EPS snow mean & the Control run is out of control for Harrisburg & the I-81 corridor for Sunday into Monday.
  24. Blizzard of 93
    Here are the 18z EPS low track & low clusters for Sunday into Monday.
  25. Blizzard of 93
    The 18z EPS & 18z Euro Control look great for CTP for the “Church” storm for this Sunday into Monday.
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