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Blizzard of 93

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Everything posted by Blizzard of 93

  1. Blizzard of 93
    Maybe we can get 1 more similar bump south to get the Lancaster & York crowd more involved?
  2. Blizzard of 93
    Yes, both 0z NAMs had a major improvement for the Harrisburg area and Cumberland, Dauphin & Lebanon counties.
  3. Blizzard of 93
    My goal for this storm is 3 for my yard & 2 for MDT.
  4. Blizzard of 93
    I didn’t think that there were any trees left in Harrisburg after all of the wind storms over the years?!
  5. Blizzard of 93
    Here is the 0z HRRR. Over 2 inches of snow in Harrisburg this run @canderson & @Mount Joy Snowman might be able to make their snow angels tomorrow on Front St.
  6. Blizzard of 93
    Good points! What I meant as far as “straightforward” just refers to this storm not having a “complicated” secondary low, low transfer or upper low to factor in to this event. The GFS might have a chance tomorrow of coming close to verifying.
  7. Blizzard of 93
    According to the handbook in Chapter 2, section 3, paragraph 1…. Hug the model that shows the most snow for your own yard! Yes, I have recently bashed the GFS, especially in the medium & long range. The short range can’t be discounted. I am also giving it credit for consistency with this storm for days.
  8. Blizzard of 93
    You said LSV…so I was referring to Harrisburg & Lancaster….not much difference. Lol, I am good with either GFS map at this point!
  9. Blizzard of 93
    Less than 1 inch difference is Not MUCH…
  10. Blizzard of 93
    I still like 2 to 4 of snow for Harrisburg tomorrow. The radar is juiced & the precip should come in like a wall, so as long as rates are moderate to heavy, we should snow. We only need a few hours of good snow to get a few inches!
  11. Blizzard of 93
    I agree….this storm is fairly straightforward, do the GFS might be able to handle this one. It has been very consistent with this event.
  12. Blizzard of 93
    The 18z GFS 10-1 & Kuchera look VERY close in the LSV….
  13. Blizzard of 93
    Here is the 0z Canadian ensemble. Again, 2 to 4 in the LSV
  14. Blizzard of 93
    A little late for ensembles, but the 6z GEFS gets 2 to 4 to most of the LSV.
  15. Blizzard of 93
    This is full of confidence….lol…they are really covering all of their bases… And the 2 to 4 inches of snow does not match their WWA of 1 to 3 for Harrisburg…. Despite their inconsistency, I tend to agree with this grid forecast of 2 to 4 for the Harrisburg area.
  16. Blizzard of 93
    This is CTP’s forecast for tomorrow for Harrisburg: Wednesday Rain and snow before 1pm, then rain, snow, and sleet between 1pm and 4pm, then rain after 4pm. High near 37. East wind 5 to 10 mph increasing to 13 to 18 mph in the afternoon. Winds could gust as high as 26 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow and sleet accumulation of 2 to 4 inches possible.
  17. Blizzard of 93
    I could be mistaken, but I think he has always been in the private sector of meteorology with paying clients.
  18. Blizzard of 93
    Here is the 6z GFS snow map.
  19. Blizzard of 93
    The 6z GFS came in much improved for the LSV for tomorrow, especially in the southern tier.
  20. Blizzard of 93
    Interesting how the LSV WWA is for just 1-3 for all of the LSV. The Watch area in the immediate layer of counties to to north in Juniata & Snyder jumps to 4 to 6 inches. CTP basically has a DT type of map! I understand the 1 to 3 for York & Lancaster, but I think the next tier of counties in Dauphin, Cumberland, Perry & Lebanon should be at least 2 to 4. I’m sure they will refine this 100 times today. Maybe this is CTP’s DT style “first call” ?
  21. Blizzard of 93
    I just went through that entire 18z GFS run. If that run magically took place, it would rival February 2010 for the LSV. Suddenly we would all exceed our climo average snow by February 8th, with plenty of time to score more.
  22. Blizzard of 93
    Hopefully the 0z NAM is just doing NAM things…
  23. Blizzard of 93
    Every model has MDT over 3 inches at this time…. But….I’m happy to see this from you… we always do well when you make a post like this every event of every year!
  24. Blizzard of 93
    Here is CTP’s latest “Expected” snow map
  25. Blizzard of 93
    Here’s the 18z EPS
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