Blizzard of 93

Go back a page…. I set my Euro alarm & was up at 3 am posting!

Side note…. It is fun to finally need to clarify which Winter event that is being posted about seeing that we have 2 events within the next 5 days!

Here is my CTP zone forecast for tomorrow Monday Rain, snow, and sleet likely, mainly after 5pm. Increasing clouds, with a high near 40. Light and variable wind becoming southeast 9 to 14 mph in the morning. Winds could gust as high as 23 mph. Chance of precipitation is 60%. New snow and sleet accumulation of less than a half inch possible. Monday Night Rain, snow, and sleet before 9pm, then rain and sleet. Low around 34. Southeast wind 6 to 16 mph, with gusts as high as 25 mph. Chance of precipitation is 100%. New snow and sleet accumulation of less than a half inch possible.

Same Wintry look on the 6z RGEM for tomorrow night. Decent minor amounts of snow & sleet this run.

6z Euro is onboard for tomorrow pm Winter weather.

Positive trends continue for the tomorrow pm event for our Winter weather chances. Here was the 6z extended HRRR

Fantastic 0z EPS run to support the Euro Op run! Impressive individual ensemble member low tracks & snow mean for this being 5 days out.

Top 10 storm historic for the LSV if this verified! Kuchera map for just this storm.

Let’s lock this 0z Euro run in for Friday please!

Yes indeed! Maybe a nice little appetizer?

18z GFS took a positive step for CTP. I think that we are in a great spot, especially considering the Euro & Canadian being further south with the snow bullseye. Hopefully the tracks converge over the next couple of days to produce a snowstorm for all of CTP.

I just got back home after a long day of shopping with the family. Great to see that we are still very much in the game!

No snow yet in Marysville. Temp currently 30 with 18 dew

Yes, this needs watched as well, especially the further north & east you go in CTP.

The 0z EPS snow mean improved as well for the late week chance time frame.

The 0z EPS improved as well. Lots of possibilities with the individual member solutions, but the mean track would work well.

The 0z Euro Control provides this type of compromise solution that I would sign up for right now.

I like our chances for next Friday & Saturday. A good compromise solution in this case would work well for the southern half of PA.

The overnight runs still give a range of options for the next Friday/Saturday Winter storm chance. The 6z GFS is still furthest north bringing the low through Delaware. The 0z Canadian is furthest south and the 0z Euro brings good snow to MD & VA with a low tracking off of the NC coast

The 18z Euro keeps a good part of CTP in the game for frozen precip on Monday night & Tuesday with the coastal developing off of the coast of southern NJ & exiting to the east.

I don’t mind where we are sitting now with the Winter storm chance for late next week when considering the good GFS runs that we have had for most runs the last couple of days. Also, the 12z Canadian & 12z Euro posted below show the storm tracking to our south & east with significant timing differences. The Euro is well off to our south east, while the Canadian is a good run for southern PA.

12 to 24 inches of snow this run is not too far to our north. We are still very much in the game, especially with the Euro still showing this to be suppressed at this time.

Yes & it’s not too far off from crushing all of us like the 6z run showed this morning. As is, it’s rain to mix to snow as the low hits the coast and really intensifies. As you mentioned historic snow this run from the middle Susquehanna Valley up to Northeast PA.

Hopefully the GFS is top dog with next weekend’s potential!

Yes, the Euro has not been what it used to be years ago. Yesterday it has the low in Missouri tracking north & overnight it moved the low over 1,000 miles to the east off of the mid Atlantic coast.