Blizzard of 93

I like still seeing precip emerging from the Gulf near the FL panhandle. Good precip is moving north out of Georgia & the western Carolinas.

Come on, you know the old line…. ”It’s nowcasting time”!

@psuhoffman Just post this in the Mid Atlantic thread…. “Just to clarify 1) all the week3+ extended guidance still looks great. 2) I still expect it to eventually be correct. I think it was just too fast getting there initially and felt that might be true even a week ago. 3)but I am acknowledging that for about 7 days now the better looks are stuck at day 16-20 just outside the actual ensemble range mostly. At times it’s snuck into day 15 for a run then retreated. And that’s frustrating. Just noting that observation. “

Lol, if that’s what it takes to get some snow around here… I was thinking that we ship @canderson to the Europe or Texas forums.

The transaction is for a “poster to be named later”.

The latest Euro Weeklies for December 27th looks to be Highly serviceable as well.

Sometimes, it helps to look for yourself…

How about Early January-the fourth…. This would work too…

Exactly! I cherry picked the advertised pattern for a few dates from the latest Euro Weeklies. The first date is from December 27th…. Highly serviceable…..

The 18z GFS also improved for tonight. More “blue” got the LSV, even with Kuchera.

Anyhow, back to today…. It’s probably going to snow tonight! Most of us had no idea on this threat until the middle of this week.

I couldn’t help myself & I just posted the GEFS & GEPS to hopefully calm a few nerves over there.

I agree with you & it’s not lousy, it’s serviceable on the GEFS & GEPS. There is no -PNA digging down to Baja or Southern California like last year!

Lol, choose to read it however you want. Also, week 4 starts January 1st !

2 of the 3 major ensembles are serviceable. If the EPS went out another day or 2, it would be serviceable as well. The ridging is shifting into western Canada from day 11 to where it ends at day 15.

But, but…. A poster or 2 is worried in the Mid Atlantic …. It’s over…lol!

Lol, Try to read it again…. I just did!

The pattern at day 16 looks serviceable on the GEPS & GEFS.

I’m only at .35 of rain today so far. Current temperature is 51 Hopefully the heavier precip holds off until overnight with the secondary low in the form of snow.

The pattern at day 16 looks serviceable on the GEPS & GEFS.

Lol, No one reasonable is punting into mid January!

Here are the 3k & 12k NAM at 18z Kuchera

Yes, best NAM run since yesterday! Good low position for Susquehanna Valley snow.

12z Euro agrees with CTP on a coating to 2 inches of snow for most of us.

A little late for ensembles, but the 12z GFS is a good representation for the possibilities depending on the the best bands set up overnight.