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Blizzard of 93

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Everything posted by Blizzard of 93

  1. Long way to go & lots for the models to resolve for both events. The development of the blocking can give models challenges as well, so we will see where the trends lead this week.
  2. Here is the Canadian for the end of the month chance. It has the low tracking into Ohio & then a secondary forms on the Mid Atlantic coast. Snow to mix back to snow scenario this run.
  3. 12z Canadian still says game on for Saturday & the end of month storm chances. Here is the Saturday chance
  4. The 6z GFS keeps the end of month potential to the south this run and scoots it out to sea.
  5. The 0z Euro still has the 28th Storm potential. The secondary coastal low is just developing in the eastern Carolinas. It would have been interesting to see hour 246 if it was available.
  6. The overnight models weakened the Saturday potential this run. The storm signal is still there and there is cold enough air in place, but is just needs to juice back up a bit like previous runs has showed. Let’s see what 12z brings today.
  7. CTP seems confident for 1 week out. Friday Night A chance of rain and snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 30. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Saturday Rain and snow likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 41. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
  8. Lol, yes , but you’re right…why not have a little Saturday fun! Most of us would be happy if 25% of this verified! 10-1 & Kuchera
  9. I might get banned if I post the combined snow map on the 18z GFS through the end of the month…
  10. Here is storm 2 on the 18z GFS for the end of the month.
  11. Here is the first storm on the 18z GFS for next Saturday.
  12. Epic 18z GFS run with 2 events in the next 10 days. The 12z Euro also has the 27th/28th storm.
  13. Lol, it’s bad everywhere except Buffalo & Caribou in the east. My only point, again no dirt kicking…. Is that the folks that have 0.4 would love to have the 10 that Williamsport has now. The people that have 10, would love to have the 30+ that parts of upstate NY have now. It’s all bad, but relative to the location. At no point did I ever say it was not that bad around here!
  14. The 12z Euro also has the 27th/28th storm that the GFS has shown a few times in recent days. The 12z Euro has Warning snow for us, but the bullseye this run was in MD & northern VA.
  15. Yes, the 12z GFS is the middle ground with a few inches of snow next Saturday. The Euro was a little further north with more rain, while the Canadian was a bit south.
  16. We have the chance at a good ending to this Winter. The -NAO is showing up across most of the models & it is not getting pushed back in time.
  17. It’s pretty bad everywhere in east, but my original comments were pointing out the 5 & 10 in Harrisburg & Williamsport compared to the other disastrous totals in the region. It’s not good anywhere outside of Buffalo!
  18. Not saying that whatsoever…you are reading into my comment way too much… Just pointing out the levels of bad are all relative. Our Winter is certainly bad, but it could be worse.
  19. Lol, it’s bad, but my point is that it’s all relative. The people in DC or NY would be a little happier with 5 or 10 like Harrisburg or Williamsport have so far.
  20. Lol, The 5 at Harrisburg & the 10 at Williamsport don’t look too bad on this list compared to the misfortune of others on this list.
  21. The 6z GFS still has the follow up storm on the 27th/28th but it’s good seeing the snow impacting areas just to our south at this time.
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