Blizzard of 93

Nice animated view of the 12z EPS that was posted in the NE thread.

The 12z EPS keeps CTP still in the game for next weekend. The initial low dies in the Midwest & the blocking forces the low to redevelop to our south & east. Exactly where that happens will determine our fate, but there are still tons of possibilities with this storm. Still 1 week to go.

Can the Euro please hold or even improve this storm for next week & regain its crown?

This is the JB tweet: Joe Bastardi @BigJoeBastardi · 10m Wild storm is exiting New England. Monster likely next weekend or early following week. top 3 or 4 cold March 11-20 on the way. Winter making up for lost time

Long way to go. The Euro & Canadian are both drastically different than the GFS.

0z Euro… wow!

Warning level event just to the northwest of I-95 this run. Northern MD crushed this run.

Major changes for the good on the 0z Euro! The low in the Midwest is forced by the block to redevelop in NC. The low then absolutely crawls to the north and east. It slowly moves east to northeast. All of CTP & all of the LSV crushed with heavy snow this run! We are far from a resolution on this event!

Still going at hour 222 and the low seems to back to the west a bit.

The low continues to crawl to the north & east.

Slow moving low that jumps to the coast & exits east.

Drastic improvement at the surface as well with a low developing in NC.

Do you find that there is a brief lag of a few days for the effects of a MJO phase change to impact a weather pattern?

Sorry, but Weatherbell at 12z didn’t load anything beyond hour 189 for the Canadian ensembles.

There are also Drastic differences between the Canadian ensemble & GEFS for next weekend. Again, we are far from a resolution.

There are also Drastic differences between the Canadian ensemble & GEFS for next weekend. Again, we are far from a resolution.

There are Drastic differences between the 0z Canadian & 0z GFS for next weekend. We are far from a resolution at this time.

The 0z Canadian shows this Wintry scenario for next weekend for CTP & the Northeast.

I think that Next weekend is still to be determined, but we should have at least a 10 day Winter storm window between the 10th & 20th. I just hope we get 1 region wide Warning level mostly snow event before we end the season.

Lol…lock in the GFS 7 days out! Seriously?! Trust the GFS this far out? It is farrrrrrrrrrrrrr too soon to “move along” !!!

Drastic differences between the 0z GFS & 0z Canadian for next weekend’s storm. We are not close to a resolution …

Any trees or shingles down…asking for @canderson…

I saw this posted in the Mid Atlantic thread a little earlier. It shows the low locations from the 18z GEFS and the hand written “GFS” in the middle of the country is the low location that the GFS Op run choose! This was an extreme outlier compared to the rest of the GEFS low location options. Bottom line, long way to go until this is resolved.

The 18z GEFS looks full of potential for the next weekend Winter storm opportunity.

He said it depends on the speed of the low crossing the country next week. If it slows, an initial low could cut before a secondary low forms. He also said we should have 3 chances of Winter storms between the 10th & 20th with temps well below normal.