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Blizzard of 93

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Everything posted by Blizzard of 93

  1. Yes, but I think anyone near I-95 to the north & west is still in the game.
  2. Exactly, the 18z EPS has a good cluster of low tracks that would work well. Also, the run ends at 18z Saturday. Many of the good low positions would still be producing snow until Saturday night or early Sunday if the run went out a little further. We are still in the game.
  3. 18z GEFS ensemble still looks good for CTP snow chances next weekend. The mean low track is similar to 12z EPS with the secondary low taking over in the DelMarVa. Several of the individual ensemble members would work well for us.
  4. Here is the 12z EPS snow map for the next weekend period.
  5. The 12z EPS is a great mean low track for the CTP snow chance next weekend. The secondary low develops near the Outer Banks of NC & then strengthens as it reaches the DelMarVa. Great cluster of lows to the west of the mean track. We don’t want the low too far west, but too far East like the Euro Op run would not be ideal either. Lots of time, but this 12z EPS run keeps us very much in the game.
  6. Here is the 12z GEFS snow map for the next weekend period.
  7. We are still at the range to lean on the ensembles for the next weekend storm chance. The 12z GEFS still keeps us in the game. It shows the secondary low development near the Outer Banks or DelMarVa and then crawling northeast.
  8. Great points, let’s see where 12z takes us on the roller coaster today.
  9. The 0z EPS snow map for the next weekend period shows we are all in the game!
  10. Fantastic 0z EPS run with the coastal redevelopment getting going much further south towards the Outer Banks & then moving northeast. We are very much in the game!
  11. Great 0z Euro run for the next weekend event. The secondary redevelops near the Outer Banks of NC & crawls northeast. This run was great for eastern PA, but the low tracks just a bit far too far off of the coast for interior CTP to get into the good snow this run. Long way to go, but great potential is showing on the Euro with a 977 low off of the coast of southern NJ.
  12. The 0z Euro still brings a quick coating to 2 inches of snow overnight Monday into Tuesday am with the Clipper.
  13. The 0z Canadian Ensemble has the same idea as the 0z GEFS. The 0z Canadian Ensemble develops the coastal, but the mean low track is further offshore as it moves northeast.
  14. On the 0z GEFS, once the storm redevelops on the Mid Atlantic coast it crawls to the north east. Saturday at 10 am the mean low position is at the southern tip of the DelMarVa. It takes until 10 pm to get to Atlantic City, NJ. It is still just off of the central NJ coast at 4 am on Sunday. If this coastal redevelops at the right location, the slow movement could make this very interesting for many of us.
  15. Yes indeed! On the 0z GEFS, once the storm redevelops on the Mid Atlantic coast it crawls to the north east. Saturday at 10 am the mean low position is at the southern tip of the DelMarVa. It takes until 10 pm to get to Atlantic City, NJ. It is still just off of the central NJ coast at 4 am on Sunday. If this coastal redevelops at the right location, the slow movement could make this very interesting for many of us.
  16. Here is the end of the 18z EPS at 144 hours vs. the 12z EPS at the same time.
  17. Agreed, ideally this will happen further south, but the redeveloping low is moving very slowly, so that could help a bit to maintain the precip shield as it strengthens & crawls northeast.
  18. The 12z Euro also puts the northern LSV in the game for the Monday night Clipper that @Bubbler86 has mentioned.
  19. Nice animated view of the 12z EPS that was posted in the NE thread.
  20. Nice animated view of the 12z EPS that was posted in the NE thread.
  21. The 12z EPS keeps CTP still in the game for next weekend. The initial low dies in the Midwest & the blocking forces the low to redevelop to our south & east. Exactly where that happens will determine our fate, but there are still tons of possibilities with this storm. Still 1 week to go.
  22. Can the Euro please hold or even improve this storm for next week & regain its crown?
  23. This is the JB tweet: Joe Bastardi @BigJoeBastardi · 10m Wild storm is exiting New England. Monster likely next weekend or early following week. top 3 or 4 cold March 11-20 on the way. Winter making up for lost time
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