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Blizzard of 93

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Everything posted by Blizzard of 93

  1. Blizzard of 93
    A few light flurries in Marysville this morning.
  2. Blizzard of 93
    Also, More front end snow on the 0z NAM for most of CTP before the coastal ramps up. Let’s see what the rest of 0z brings..
  3. Blizzard of 93
    @psuhoffman just posted this in Mid Atlantic thread… “It was a perfect 18z run. Does exactly what we need wave 3. Gets the NS wave out in front just enough. Then it has wave 4 but just a bit suppressed. Perfect for that range. Lol Both those waves will adjust around every run but 18z Gfs showed how we could conceivably win with either. This is the first time all winter we actually had a good setup. Ya it’s sucks it comes 3 weeks into March.”
  4. Blizzard of 93
    Of course, but @psuhoffman likes this period & slightly beyond for our last couple of chances. Might as well track it all to the end of the game…stay for the last pitch or final buzzer.
  5. Blizzard of 93
    I see that there is some towel waving, etc. for the season… The 18z GFS has some other ideas for next weekend… Here we go again….
  6. Blizzard of 93
    Hopefully the initial low holds together a bit more on Sunday night to give us a few inches of snow.
  7. Blizzard of 93
    35 with Snow/rain mix in Marysville.
  8. Blizzard of 93
    Hopefully the Euro continues the good trends for Monday as we enjoy a little snow today!
  9. Blizzard of 93
    The EPS has .8 to .9 total precip for the LSV. If the dominant precip type is snow, there is more room for upside in the LSV.
  10. Blizzard of 93
    Here are the 0z Euro low clusters. Many of these individual ensemble member tracks could work well for us.
  11. Blizzard of 93
    The 0z EPS has that classic look with an intensifying coastal low as it moves northeast. The precip shield looks reasonable given the track on this run.
  12. Blizzard of 93
    Here is the total precip & snow for the Monday/Tuesday event period. There is even more upside potential for snow in the LSV with the roughly 1 inch of total precip in the LSV that is shown this run.
  13. Blizzard of 93
  14. Blizzard of 93
    The low reaches the 970s & eventually stalls out in eastern Massachusetts while still throwing back light snow to us into Tuesday pm.
  15. Blizzard of 93
    The 0z Euro made a good improvement for the Monday event for CTP & the LSV. It shows a nice low track that intensifies off of the NC coast as it moves north & east. There is a much better depiction of the typical precip field in this scenario for our region with this type of coastal low. We are very much in the game with a few days to go.
  16. Blizzard of 93
    Here are the 18z EPS low locations for Monday.
  17. Blizzard of 93
    The 18z EPS keep the eastern half of PA in the game for the Sunday night into Monday storm chance.
  18. Blizzard of 93
    3k 18z NAM improved too for Harrisburg
  19. Blizzard of 93
    I’m surprised that no one posted the 18z HRRR… Looks good for the Harrisburg area. Bullseye for @paweather
  20. Blizzard of 93
    The 6z GFS is still full of chances even after the Monday event, so maybe one of these will get all of CTP a good snowstorm before we are done this month.
  21. Blizzard of 93
    Let’s not get carried away, these events are not going to be total failures. The 6z GFS still looks good for an Advisory event on Sunday for most of us except for southern York & Lancaster this run.
  22. Blizzard of 93
    Unfortunately, the models cut back some for the LSV for tomorrow. The timing & the bulk of the good precip swinging a bit to our north doesn’t help our snow amounts at this point.
  23. Blizzard of 93
    The 0z FV3 is good for vast majority of the LSV & CTP
  24. Blizzard of 93
    Yes, I just posted it…
  25. Blizzard of 93
    The 3k NAM is much better for the LSV
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