Blizzard of 93

Speaking of snow… The 12z GFS gave us a chance at a light event on Thursday am by pushing one of the weak waves just far enough north.

This deserves a bump….. Lots of well below normal snow years that happened several decades ago. What happened in 1900, 1919 & 1931 to cause those terrible snow years? We just had an above normal snow year at MDT in 2021….. Up & down snow years are nothing new…

Again, nothing significant is likely this week in the snow department, but I wouldn’t rule out another 1-3 or 2-4 type of event at this point, especially in the LSV.

The 6z GEFS shows that we might be able to get involved with these minor waves later this week.

I like where we stand in the LSV if one of these waves amps up a bit this week. Cold enough air should be in place by Tuesday and multiple weak waves to our south….I’ll take my chances on scoring an Advisory level event at some point this week.

Lol, these maps are poor quality on the free sites, and the panel before & after have them snowing. Much better than suppression to VA & NC!

The 6z ICON shows how we can get an Advisory event this week.

32 in Marysville now after a low of 28.

Exactly, we could be in the right spot to be on the snow side of the boundary.

Thanks, I like where we stand. We just might be at the perfect latitude to cash in next week.

CTP seems confident with the first chance for next week. Tuesday Night Rain, snow, and freezing rain likely, mainly after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 27. Chance of precipitation is 60%. Wednesday A chance of rain, snow, and freezing rain. Partly sunny, with a high near 38. Chance of precipitation is 40%.

6z GFS is still south of us & gets VA the bullseye this run. I like where the LSV is sitting at this range.

6z ICON gets it done for us for the first chance next week.

Good to see the 0z Euro Op keeping the chances next week to our south & east at this range. It’s refreshing to not see cutter after cutter… we are in the game!

Interesting signal on the 3 major ensembles through the end of their 15 or 16 day runs. I look at these snow maps every day to just monitor the trends. I have not seen this look at any point this season! The southern extent of the “blue” on the snow maps on each of the 3 major ensembles reaches well to the south in VA and into northern NC on the Canadian. The amounts over CTP are not prolific, but I think it’s a great signal seeing the “blue” so far south. Most days this season, the blue has not made it to the MD line & the better looks maybe had the blue getting to near DC. Again, seeing the blue this far south is a great signal to me that we are in the game for the next 2 weeks or so.

18z EPS is getting a little more interesting for the first wave potential for next Wednesday. This would likely be another Advisory type of event, but I would take it.

I agree, I also think we have at least 1 and maybe 2 events in the next 10 days or so.

Exactly… count the hail… lol!

More of Winter is still left if you count March & April snow…. Not to open an old can of worms… Lol!

The second storm on the 0z Euro is a potential major storm with a strong High to the north and a slow moving developing low pressure crawling up from the south.

The 0z Euro run was fantastic & had 2 snow chances. First one is next Wednesday.

If we get 2 good snowstorms next week, I am good with a warm up for a week. Many forecasters are saying the pattern should improve with blocking possibly coming back for the second half of February into March.

@MAG5035 Any thoughts on the upcoming pattern next week into early February?

Cold air will be pressing. The timing of the waves will be important to our snow chances. If there is too much cold push, the precip will be suppressed. If not enough cold press, the waves will cut west. If we get lucky, maybe we can score a few events in early February.

MDT measured 3.0 today as of the 5 pm daily summary.