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Blizzard of 93

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Everything posted by Blizzard of 93

  1. I’m staying out of this… Lol! @Itstrainingtime will be on here in no time to straighten you guys out!
  2. Snow map on the 18z EPS bumped in the right direction as well.
  3. The 18z EPS also improved for the Sunday chance of a Winter storm.
  4. Positive trends on the models today for the weekend potential. The 18z GFS is right where we want 5 days out…
  5. The 0z & 6z GFS did not back down on the Winter storm potential this weekend. Both runs have snow in the LSV, but the heaviest is to our south & east. The 0z Euro was a whiff because the storm didn’t get its act together & has some light rain as the low scoots out to sea. Still 5 days to watch this to see if we get lucky in a bad overall pattern.
  6. Great to see the MJO rocketing through the warm phases back towards phase 8 by the 20th. The Euro MJO posted below agrees with the GEFS that you posted as well. Hopefully late February & March bring us a few weeks of solid Winter storm potential.
  7. Now you’re talking! Hopefully we have a strong 4th quarter of Winter.
  8. Well, the happy hour GFS produced the goods, so where is the old snow train?
  9. That’s the spirit! Hopefully in your scenario, the 11” of snow is topped by 1 inch of sleet/freezing rain in order to help retention and then it only gets to 47 the next day.
  10. The Euro, to a lesser degree, had weekend snow at 12z as well. Previous occasional GFS, Canadian & Euro runs on Friday & Saturday looked good as well for this weekend. Maybe it’s our time to score?
  11. Here is another look at the Happy Hour GFS for this weekend. We are over due for something to trend right. Maybe we get lucky this weekend?
  12. 12z Euro was a step in the right direction for some snow next weekend.
  13. The 0z Canadian displayed how we could score some snow next weekend. It has a good track that passes under us and just off of the coast.
  14. The 0z Euro was also disorganized and forms a weak coastal that heads out to sea.
  15. The overnight models still do not show any consensus yet for next weekends storm. The 6z GFS is disorganized, but shows a period of snow towards the end of the event as the low pulls away.
  16. Here is part of CTP’s discussion for next weekend. “Longer range guidance shows a trough translating towards the east coast by Fri into next weekend, with cooling temps and the potential for some rain or wintry weather, but forecast uncertainty remains high in this period.”
  17. Thanks! I will keep looking for snow chances until early April.
  18. Maybe it comes back at 0z ? if not, I’ll give it until Monday or Tuesday before moving on.
  19. Also, the models have snow goggles at times…I just am the messenger that posts them.
  20. Too much pessimism is not how I roll on here or in life. I choose to always chase the positive possible outcomes. Things don’t always work out, but it doesn’t hurt to look for the next potential good thing.
  21. Once again, for the 10,000th time….When I post model runs, it is merely showing what the model shows…not a forecast! It doesn’t mean that I am “excited” or “believe” in a storm…I’m just showing the possibilities. Across the regional forums on here, the posters that provide good content with maps & a little analysis get bashed. All of the “meh” & “it’s not happening” & “next fail” crowd seem to be the cool kids that band together.
  22. I will continue to look for snow potential in February. Sorry, not sorry!
  23. I am not “falling” for anything. I am merely looking at the possibilities that model runs are showing for a system that is about 1 week out & not in fantasy range.
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