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Blizzard of 93

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Everything posted by Blizzard of 93

  1. 18z GFS took a positive step for CTP. I think that we are in a great spot, especially considering the Euro & Canadian being further south with the snow bullseye. Hopefully the tracks converge over the next couple of days to produce a snowstorm for all of CTP.
  2. I just got back home after a long day of shopping with the family. Great to see that we are still very much in the game!
  3. No snow yet in Marysville. Temp currently 30 with 18 dew
  4. Yes, this needs watched as well, especially the further north & east you go in CTP.
  5. The 0z EPS snow mean improved as well for the late week chance time frame.
  6. The 0z EPS improved as well. Lots of possibilities with the individual member solutions, but the mean track would work well.
  7. The 0z Euro Control provides this type of compromise solution that I would sign up for right now.
  8. I like our chances for next Friday & Saturday. A good compromise solution in this case would work well for the southern half of PA.
  9. The overnight runs still give a range of options for the next Friday/Saturday Winter storm chance. The 6z GFS is still furthest north bringing the low through Delaware. The 0z Canadian is furthest south and the 0z Euro brings good snow to MD & VA with a low tracking off of the NC coast
  10. The 18z Euro keeps a good part of CTP in the game for frozen precip on Monday night & Tuesday with the coastal developing off of the coast of southern NJ & exiting to the east.
  11. I don’t mind where we are sitting now with the Winter storm chance for late next week when considering the good GFS runs that we have had for most runs the last couple of days. Also, the 12z Canadian & 12z Euro posted below show the storm tracking to our south & east with significant timing differences. The Euro is well off to our south east, while the Canadian is a good run for southern PA.
  12. 12 to 24 inches of snow this run is not too far to our north. We are still very much in the game, especially with the Euro still showing this to be suppressed at this time.
  13. Yes & it’s not too far off from crushing all of us like the 6z run showed this morning. As is, it’s rain to mix to snow as the low hits the coast and really intensifies. As you mentioned historic snow this run from the middle Susquehanna Valley up to Northeast PA.
  14. Hopefully the GFS is top dog with next weekend’s potential!
  15. Yes, the Euro has not been what it used to be years ago. Yesterday it has the low in Missouri tracking north & overnight it moved the low over 1,000 miles to the east off of the mid Atlantic coast.
  16. The 6z GFS actually currently has the middle ground track. The 0z Euro drastically changed & now has a track that slides off of the Mid Atlantic coast with precipitation not even getting to PA. The 0z Canadian has an initial low that gets to southern Illinois and then responds to the blocking and quickly redevelops the low off of the Mid Atlantic coast. It still blasts CTP with heavy snow, but gets there differently than the GFS.
  17. Why not, it’s Friday, let’s start it off happy with the 6z GFS snow maps. It will change in a few hours, but enjoy until 12z. The GFS has had some version of this storm for a few days now, so maybe it will lead the way for this event. Here are Kuchera & 10-1…. I would settle for half of these…
  18. The 6z GFS says Happy Friday to all with a top 10 historic snow storm potential for next Friday & Saturday!
  19. The 0z GFS has a major long duration snow storm for southern PA next Friday into Saturday with a low that tracks to our south & east.
  20. Agreed & I don’t think that I’ve seen the 6 inch snow line so far south this season on any other 16 day ensemble run.
  21. Good 18z GEFS run for the snow chance for late next week.
  22. 6z GFS has a great look for the next weekend winter storm chance.
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