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Blizzard of 93

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Everything posted by Blizzard of 93

  1. Blocking is setting up during the first week of March… It could finally be our time? Maybe? Please?
  2. The old saying is that Winter thunderstorms bring snow 7 to 10 days later… We will see this year…
  3. The early next week system is far from being written in stone. The blocking will be in its beginning stages. The 18z GFS has the look that the good Euro & GFS runs from a couple of days showed. It has the low tracking to Ohio but then the secondary coastal low takes over far enough to the south to change us from a mix over to snow. The storm then exits to the east off of the coast of NJ. Still 1 week to go…
  4. Lol, I was busy helping my daughter with her math homework…. Who knew that 6th grade math could be so tough!
  5. The EPS still shows the end of the month potential with the initial low tracking to our west but then redeveloping on the Mid Atlantic coast. We need this to happen a little further south to deliver snow potential to CTP. This would be at the beginning stages of the blocking, so time will tell the impacts that it will have on this system.
  6. The overnight models also still give us a chance at light snow at some point on Saturday. The GFS has it slightly to our south at this time, the Canadian & Euro have CTP in the light precip potential.
  7. The 6z GFS & 0z Canadian both show a brief mix on Wednesday for most of CTP.
  8. Long way to go & lots for the models to resolve for both events. The development of the blocking can give models challenges as well, so we will see where the trends lead this week.
  9. Here is the Canadian for the end of the month chance. It has the low tracking into Ohio & then a secondary forms on the Mid Atlantic coast. Snow to mix back to snow scenario this run.
  10. 12z Canadian still says game on for Saturday & the end of month storm chances. Here is the Saturday chance
  11. The 6z GFS keeps the end of month potential to the south this run and scoots it out to sea.
  12. The 0z Euro still has the 28th Storm potential. The secondary coastal low is just developing in the eastern Carolinas. It would have been interesting to see hour 246 if it was available.
  13. The overnight models weakened the Saturday potential this run. The storm signal is still there and there is cold enough air in place, but is just needs to juice back up a bit like previous runs has showed. Let’s see what 12z brings today.
  14. CTP seems confident for 1 week out. Friday Night A chance of rain and snow showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 30. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Saturday Rain and snow likely. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 41. Chance of precipitation is 60%.
  15. Lol, yes , but you’re right…why not have a little Saturday fun! Most of us would be happy if 25% of this verified! 10-1 & Kuchera
  16. I might get banned if I post the combined snow map on the 18z GFS through the end of the month…
  17. Here is storm 2 on the 18z GFS for the end of the month.
  18. Here is the first storm on the 18z GFS for next Saturday.
  19. Epic 18z GFS run with 2 events in the next 10 days. The 12z Euro also has the 27th/28th storm.
  20. Lol, it’s bad everywhere except Buffalo & Caribou in the east. My only point, again no dirt kicking…. Is that the folks that have 0.4 would love to have the 10 that Williamsport has now. The people that have 10, would love to have the 30+ that parts of upstate NY have now. It’s all bad, but relative to the location. At no point did I ever say it was not that bad around here!
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